La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Osasuna
Ath Madrid
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | +59 | +46.2 | 82 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | +36 | +28.4 | 78 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | +33 | +25.2 | 70 |
| 4 |
Ath Bilbao
|
35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | +25 | +15.9 | 64 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | +17 | +21.1 | 64 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | +10 | +8.8 | 58 |
| 7 |
Celta
|
36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | +2 | +9.6 | 52 |
| 8 |
Vallecano
|
35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | -5 | -3.7 | 47 |
| 9 |
Mallorca
|
36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | -8 | -5.9 | 47 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | -8 | -7.8 | 45 |
| 11 |
Valencia
|
36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | -9 | -7.5 | 45 |
| 12 |
Sociedad
|
36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | -10 | +1.2 | 43 |
| 13 |
Sevilla
|
36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -9 | -4.2 | 41 |
| 14 |
Girona
|
36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | -11 | -4.8 | 41 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | -3 | -7.6 | 39 |
| 16 |
Espanol
|
35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | -9 | -21.9 | 39 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -11 | -3.2 | 38 |
| 18 |
Leganes
|
36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -21 | -27.2 | 34 |
| 19 |
Las Palmas
|
36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -18 | -29.9 | 32 |
| 20 |
Valladolid
|
36 | 4 | 4 | 28 | -60 | -32.4 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Sergio Herrera
G
Jesús Areso
D
E. Boyomo
D
Catena
D
Juan Cruz
D
Pablo Ibáñez
M
Lucas Torró
M
Rubén Peña
M
Aimar Oroz
M
Bryan Zaragoza
M
A. Budimir
F
Coach: Vicente Moreno
J. Oblak
G
Marcos Llorente
D
J. Giménez
D
Robin Le Normand
D
Javi Galán
D
G. Simeone
M
Koke
M
Pablo Barrios
M
A. Sørloth
F
J. Alvarez
F
Coach: D. Simeone
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Betis
Osasuna
Villarreal
Osasuna
Osasuna
Sevilla
Valladolid
Osasuna
Osasuna
Girona
Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.