La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Osasuna
Espanol
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 22 |
| 3 |
Sociedad
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |
Ath Bilbao
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 7 |
Villarreal
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 |
Vallecano
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 |
Valladolid
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 |
Sevilla
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |
Almeria
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 |
Celta
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 |
Espanol
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Getafe
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |
Girona
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 |
Cadiz
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -13 | 7 |
| 20 |
Elche
|
10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -18 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Aitor Fernández
G
Nacho Vidal
D
Manu Sánchez
D
Lucas Torró
M
Rubén García
M
Aimar Oroz
M
Moi Gómez
M
A. Ezzalzouli
M
A. Budimir
F
Coach: Arrasate
B. Lecomte
G
Sergi Gómez
D
L. Cabrera
D
K. Bare
M
Vinicius Souza
M
Darder
F
Coach: Diego Martínez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Villarreal
Osasuna
Osasuna
Valencia
Real Madrid
Osasuna
Osasuna
Getafe
Almeria
Osasuna
Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.