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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Osasuna
S T U T T
1–0
Full-time
Espanol
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
44%
22%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
67%
Average goals
2,1
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
17 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 9. · Espanol 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 9 1 0 +17 28
2 Barcelona 9 7 1 1 +17 22
3 Sociedad 10 7 1 2 +4 22
4 Ath Madrid 10 6 2 2 +8 20
5 Betis 10 6 2 2 +7 20
6 Ath Bilbao 10 5 3 2 +11 18
7 Villarreal 9 4 3 2 +9 15
8 Valencia 10 4 3 3 +6 15
9 Osasuna 9 4 1 4 -1 13
10 Vallecano 10 3 3 4 -2 12
11 Valladolid 10 3 2 5 -5 11
12 Sevilla 10 2 4 4 -5 10
13 Almeria 10 3 1 6 -6 10
14 Celta 10 3 1 6 -9 10
15 Espanol 9 2 3 4 -4 9
16 Mallorca 10 2 3 5 -4 9
17 Getafe 10 2 3 5 -8 9
18 Girona 10 2 2 6 -4 8
19 Cadiz 10 1 4 5 -13 7
20 Elche 10 0 3 7 -18 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Espanol
David García 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Martin Braithwaite
1–0 A. Budimir
A. Ezzalzouli
55′
59′
🔁 Javi Puado
↦ K. Bare
60′
🔁 Edu Expósito
↦ Aleix Vidal
D. Brašanac 🔁
↦ Moi Gómez
68′
E. Ávila 🔁
↦ A. Budimir
68′
73′
🟨 Fernando Calero
Moncayola 🔁
↦ Rubén García
78′
78′
🔁 O. El Hilali
↦ Fernando Calero
Juan Cruz 🔁
↦ A. Ezzalzouli
79′
79′
🔁 José Carlos Lazo
↦ M. Braithwaite
Kike García 🔁
↦ Aimar Oroz
89′
89′
🔁 Dani Gómez
↦ Vinicius Souza
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-1-4-1
25 Aitor Fernández G
2 Nacho Vidal D
4 Unai García D
5 David García D
20 Manu Sánchez D
6 Lucas Torró M
14 Rubén García M
22 Aimar Oroz M
16 Moi Gómez M
12 A. Ezzalzouli M
17 A. Budimir F
Bench (11)
8 D. Brašanac
9 E. Ávila
7 Moncayola
3 Juan Cruz
18 Kike García
11 Kike Barja
13 Juan Pérez
10 Roberto Torres
19 Pablo Ibáñez
23 Aridane
1 Sergio Herrera

Coach: Arrasate

Espanol

4-4-2
13 B. Lecomte G
5 Fernando Calero D
24 Sergi Gómez D
4 L. Cabrera D
14 Brian Oliván D
22 Aleix Vidal M
8 K. Bare M
12 Vinicius Souza M
17 M. Braithwaite M
10 Darder F
9 Joselu F
Bench (10)
7 Javi Puado
20 Edu Expósito
26 O. El Hilali
16 José Carlos Lazo
19 Dani Gómez
21 Nico Melamed
25 Álvaro Fernández
28 Simo
6 Pol Lozano
1 Joan García

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,41
B
3,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.