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La Liga

Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega

Real Madrid

S T S S S

1–0

Full-time

Osasuna

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,64 xG 0,36

71% Possession 29%

18 Shots 2

5 Shots on target 0

6 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 0

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.9	3
2	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
3	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
5	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
6	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
11	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
12	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
13	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
14	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
15	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0
16	Celta	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
17	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
18	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
2	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
3	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
6	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
7	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0
8	Celta	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
9	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.9	3
2	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
3	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
5	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
6	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
7	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
8	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
9	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.