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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Espanol
U S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Osasuna
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 32%
21%
42%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
53%
26%
Both score Ø 55%
68%
42%
Average goals
2,7
1,9
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,64 xG 0,95
40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Espanol 15. · Osasuna 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 19 16 2 1 +32 +1.0 50
2 Real Madrid 19 14 3 2 +24 +2.8 45
3 Sociedad 19 12 3 4 +10 -0.0 39
4 Ath Madrid 19 10 4 5 +12 +4.2 34
5 Villarreal 19 9 4 6 +7 +2.1 31
6 Betis 19 9 4 6 +5 -1.5 31
7 Ath Bilbao 20 8 5 7 +8 -0.0 29
8 Vallecano 19 8 5 6 +3 -0.5 29
9 Osasuna 19 8 4 7 +0 -2.2 28
10 Mallorca 19 7 4 8 -3 -1.5 25
11 Almeria 19 6 4 9 -6 +0.9 22
12 Girona 19 5 6 8 -3 -2.4 21
13 Sevilla 19 5 6 8 -5 +4.1 21
14 Valencia 19 5 5 9 +2 -1.8 20
15 Espanol 19 4 8 7 -6 +0.1 20
16 Celta 19 5 5 9 -11 +0.4 20
17 Valladolid 19 6 2 11 -14 -2.8 20
18 Cadiz 20 4 7 9 -18 -0.4 19
19 Getafe 19 4 5 10 -10 -0.8 17
20 Elche 19 0 6 13 -27 -1.8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Osasuna
16′
🟨 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
29′
🟨 Moi Gómez
Sergi Gómez 🔁
↦ C. Montes
39′
45′
A. Budimir 0–1
E. Ávila
Half-time 0–1
Rubén Sánchez 🔁
↦ Aleix Vidal
46′
46′
🔁 D. Brašanac
↦ Lucas Torró
Aleix Vidal 🟨
49′
Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel 🟨
49′
Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel 🟨
49′
Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel 🟥
49′
49′
🟨 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
49′
🟥 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
58′
🔁 Rubén García
↦ E. Ávila
1–1 M. Braithwaite
Javi Puado
59′
Denis Suárez 🔁
↦ Fernando Calero
60′
José Gragera 🔁
↦ Nico Melamed
60′
61′
🟨 Unai García
67′
🔁 Pablo Ibáñez
↦ Diego Moreno
67′
🔁 Kike García
↦ A. Budimir
Edu Expósito 🔁
↦ M. Braithwaite
75′
78′
🟨 Jon Moncayola
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
25 Álvaro Fernández G
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
23 C. Montes D
4 L. Cabrera D
14 Brian Oliván D
22 Aleix Vidal M
5 Fernando Calero M
10 Darder M
21 Nico Melamed M
17 M. Braithwaite F
7 Javi Puado F
Bench (9)
24 Sergi Gómez
27 Rubén Sánchez
6 Denis Suárez
15 José Gragera
20 Edu Expósito
16 José Carlos Lazo
19 Dani Gómez
13 Fernando Pacheco
1 Joan García

Coach: Diego Martínez

Osasuna

4-1-4-1
25 Aitor Fernández G
35 Diego Moreno D
4 Unai García D
5 David García D
3 Juan Cruz D
6 Lucas Torró M
9 E. Ávila M
7 Moncayola M
16 Moi Gómez M
12 A. Ezzalzouli M
17 A. Budimir F
Bench (8)
8 D. Brašanac
14 Rubén García
19 Pablo Ibáñez
18 Kike García
23 Aridane
20 Manu Sánchez
11 Kike Barja
1 Sergio Herrera

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U ✓
3,05
B
3,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,56
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.