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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Alaves
S U T S S
1–1
Full-time
Osasuna
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 54%
46%
62%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,96 xG 1,66
47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 9
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 15. · Osasuna 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 37 27 4 6 +60 +45.1 85
2 Real Madrid 38 26 6 6 +40 +31.7 84
3 Ath Madrid 37 21 10 6 +34 +29.9 73
4 Ath Bilbao 37 19 13 5 +28 +17.2 70
5 Villarreal 37 19 10 8 +18 +21.4 67
6 Betis 38 16 12 10 +7 +5.0 60
7 Celta 37 15 7 15 +1 +11.2 52
8 Osasuna 37 12 15 10 -4 -8.2 51
9 Vallecano 37 13 12 12 -4 -5.3 51
10 Mallorca 37 13 8 16 -9 -7.1 47
11 Valencia 38 11 13 14 -10 -8.6 46
12 Sociedad 38 13 7 18 -11 -0.8 46
13 Getafe 37 11 9 17 -4 -6.9 42
14 Espanol 38 11 9 18 -11 -20.2 42
15 Alaves 37 10 11 16 -10 -3.4 41
16 Sevilla 37 10 11 16 -11 -5.7 41
17 Girona 37 11 8 18 -12 -4.6 41
18 Leganes 38 9 13 16 -17 -24.5 40
19 Las Palmas 38 8 8 22 -21 -32.2 32
20 Valladolid 38 4 4 30 -64 -34.0 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Osasuna
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Iker Muñoz
↦ Lucas Torró
1–0 Carlos Vicente
56′
59′
🔁 Raúl García
↦ Pablo Ibáñez
59′
🔁 Abel Bretones
↦ Juan Cruz
Toni Martínez 🔁
↦ Kike García
63′
T. Conechny 🔁
↦ Jon Guridi
63′
Tomás Conechny 🟨
65′
75′
🟨 Raúl García de Haro
Facundo Garcés 🟨
77′
78′
🟨 Jesús Areso
Carlos Martín 🔁
↦ C. Benavídez
79′
Adrián Pica 🔁
↦ A. Sedlar
79′
81′
🔁 José Arnáiz
↦ Bryan Zaragoza
88′
Raúl García 1–1
Catena
93′
🔁 Unai García
↦ Rubén García
Adrián Pica 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-2-3-1
1 Antonio Sivera G
14 N. Tenaglia D
2 F. Garcés D
4 A. Sedlar D
3 Manu Sánchez D
23 C. Benavídez M
8 Antonio Blanco M
7 Carlos Vicente M
18 Jon Guridi M
21 Carles Aleñá M
17 Kike García F
Bench (11)
11 Toni Martínez
10 T. Conechny
15 Carlos Martín
36 Adrián Pica
31 A. Rodríguez
16 Hugo Novoa
6 Ander Guevara
28 Lander Pinillos
9 Asier Villalibre
13 Jesús Owono
19 Pau Cabanes

Coach: E. Coudet

Osasuna

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Herrera G
12 Jesús Areso D
22 E. Boyomo D
24 Catena D
3 Juan Cruz D
8 Pablo Ibáñez M
6 Lucas Torró M
14 Rubén García M
10 Aimar Oroz M
19 Bryan Zaragoza M
17 A. Budimir F
Bench (12)
18 Iker Muñoz
9 Raúl García
23 Abel Bretones
20 José Arnáiz
4 Unai García
15 Rubén Peña
13 Aitor Fernández
5 Jorge Herrando
42 Rafa Fernández
16 Moi Gómez
11 Kike Barja
7 Moncayola

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,20
U ✓
3,20
B
2,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.