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La Liga
Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Espanol
T T T T S
2–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,26 xG 1,10
40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Espanol Ath Madrid
37′
J. Alvarez 0–1
42′
🟨 Johnny Cardoso
Half-time 0–1
K. Garcia 🔁
↦ R. Terrats
46′
T. Dolan 🔁
↦ Jofre
46′
46′
🔁 Koke
↦ J. Cardoso
46′
🔁 P. Barrios
↦ C. Gallagher
Fernando Calero 🟨
54′
M. Rubio 🔁
↦ F. Calero
66′
67′
🟨 Robin Le Normand
68′
🔁 A. Griezmann
↦ A. Baena
68′
🔁 G. Raspadori
↦ T. Almada
72′
🟨 Marcos Llorente
1–1 M. Rubio
Exposito
73′
Omar El Hilali 🟨
74′
P. Milla 🔁
↦ R. Fernandez Jaen
74′
82′
🔁 A. Sorloth
↦ J. Alvarez
2–1 P. Milla
O. El Hilali
84′
J. Salinas 🔁
↦ J. Puado
88′
Jose Salinas 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-2-3-1
13 M. Dmitrovic G
23 O. El Hilali D
5 F. Calero D
6 L. Cabrera D
22 C. Romero D
10 P. Lozano M
8 Exposito M
17 Jofre M
14 R. Terrats M
7 J. Puado M
9 R. Fernandez Jaen F
Bench (12)
1 A. Fortuno
2 R. Sanchez
4 P. Ramon
11 P. Milla
12 J. Salinas
15 M. Rubio
19 K. Garcia
20 A. Roca
24 T. Dolan
28 R. Bauza
30 P. Tristan
31 R. Hinojo

Coach: José Manuel González Álvarez

Ath Madrid

4-2-3-1
13 J. Oblak G
14 M. Llorente D
24 R. Le Normand D
17 D. Hancko D
3 M. Ruggeri D
4 C. Gallagher M
5 J. Cardoso M
20 G. Simeone M
10 A. Baena M
11 T. Almada M
19 J. Alvarez F
Bench (12)
1 J. Musso
31 S. Esquivel
15 C. Lenglet
16 N. Molina
18 M. Pubill
21 J. Galan
6 Koke
8 P. Barrios
7 A. Griezmann
9 A. Sorloth
81 G. Raspadori
23 C. Martin

Coach: Diego Pablo Simeone González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
6,25
U
3,86
B
1,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mateo Busquets Ferrer · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.