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Bundesliga

Referee: Richard Hempel

Freiburg

S S S S S

5–0

Full-time

M'gladbach

T S S T T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,8

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

0,5

3,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%

19 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Freiburg 2. · M'gladbach 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Augsburg	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.6	6
2	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
3	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.6	6
4	Elversberg	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.6	6
5	Mainz	2	1	1	0	+5	+0.5	4
6	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.3	4
7	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.6	4
8	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.6	3
9	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.9	3
10	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	-1	-3.3	3
11	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.8	3
12	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.1	3
13	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
14	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.4	1
15	Union Berlin	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.4	1
16	Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.1	0
17	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0
18	Hamburg	2	0	0	2	-7	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.3	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
3	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.8	3
4	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
5	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
6	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.9	3
7	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
9	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
10	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
11	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
12	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
14	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
15	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
18	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
2	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
3	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
4	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
5	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
7	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
8	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
11	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
12	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
13	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
14	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.8	0
15	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
16	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.9	0
17	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.3	0
18	Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.