Bundesliga
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Mainz
Ein Frankfurt
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Augsburg
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | +1.6 | 6 |
| 2 |
Freiburg
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +1.8 | 6 |
| 3 |
Dortmund
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +0.6 | 6 |
| 4 |
Elversberg
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | -0.6 | 6 |
| 5 |
Mainz
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | +0.5 | 4 |
| 6 |
Bayern Munich
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | +3.3 | 4 |
| 7 |
Schalke 04
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.6 | 4 |
| 8 |
Leverkusen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | +0.6 | 3 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | +2.9 | 3 |
| 10 |
Stuttgart
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -3.3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.8 | 3 |
| 12 |
FC Koln
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +0.1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Paderborn
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0.5 | 1 |
| 14 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | -0.4 | 1 |
| 15 |
Union Berlin
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 16 |
Hoffenheim
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -0.1 | 0 |
| 17 |
M'gladbach
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -2.9 | 0 |
| 18 |
Hamburg
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | -0.6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Zentner
G
S. Posch
D
F. Gruber
D
K. Potulski
D
K. Sano
M
A. Caci
M
N. Amiri
M
Lee Jae-Sung
M
P. Mwene
M
S. Becker
F
P. Tietz
F
Coach: U. Fischer
N. Atubolu
G
J. Maluze
D
R. Koch
D
L. Brassier
D
Elias Baum
M
N. Aséko Nkili
M
R. Onyedika
M
K. Kosugi
M
R. Dōan
M
C. Uzun
M
J. Burkardt
F
Coach: A. Hütter
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hamburg
Mainz
Mainz
Paderborn
Krieschow
Mainz
Heidenheim
Mainz
Mainz
Union Berlin
Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.