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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Mainz
T S S U S
1–3
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
T U S U T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,8
5,7
Scored
3,2
3,3
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,5
5,5
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,0
3,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mainz 5. · Ein Frankfurt 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 +6 +1.6 6
2 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 +4 +1.8 6
3 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +3 +0.6 6
4 Elversberg 2 2 0 0 +2 -0.6 6
5 Mainz 2 1 1 0 +5 +0.5 4
6 Bayern Munich 2 1 1 0 +4 +3.3 4
7 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 -1 -1.6 4
8 Leverkusen 2 1 0 1 +3 +0.6 3
9 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +1 +2.9 3
10 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 -1 -3.3 3
11 Werder Bremen 2 1 0 1 -1 -1.8 3
12 FC Koln 2 1 0 1 -2 +0.1 3
13 Paderborn 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.5 1
14 Ein Frankfurt 2 0 1 1 -3 -0.4 1
15 Union Berlin 3 0 1 2 -6 +0.4 1
16 Hoffenheim 2 0 0 2 -2 -0.1 0
17 M'gladbach 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.9 0
18 Hamburg 2 0 0 2 -7 -0.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mainz Ein Frankfurt
9′
Can Yilmaz Uzun 0–1
Jonathan Burkardt
42′
🟨 Raphael Onyedika Nwadike
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Mainz

3-1-4-2
27 R. Zentner G
4 S. Posch D
3 F. Gruber D
48 K. Potulski D
6 K. Sano M
19 A. Caci M
10 N. Amiri M
7 Lee Jae-Sung M
2 P. Mwene M
23 S. Becker F
9 P. Tietz F
Bench (9)
21 D. da Costa
17 B. Hollerbach
16 S. Bell
24 S. Kawasaki
11 R. Königsdörffer
15 L. Maloney
47 R. Nakuzola
20 O. Ruoppi
1 A. Schwolow

Coach: U. Fischer

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 N. Atubolu G
37 J. Maluze D
4 R. Koch D
3 L. Brassier D
2 Elias Baum M
15 N. Aséko Nkili M
25 R. Onyedika M
26 K. Kosugi M
20 R. Dōan M
42 C. Uzun M
9 J. Burkardt F
Bench (9)
35 M. Pimpong
5 Otávio
40 Kauã Santos
27 M. Götze
11 Y. Ebnoutalib
34 N. Collins
22 T. Chandler
31 L. Arrhov
29 A. Amaimouni

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,97
U
3,85
B ✓
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,11
U1,5
6,00
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,58
O3,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5
1,76
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,42
BLS nei
2,69

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.