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Bundesliga
Referee: Sven Jablonski
RB Leipzig
S T S T S
3–0
Full-time
M'gladbach
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,96 xG 1,09
47% Possession 53%
25 Shots 15
11 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 6
0 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

RB Leipzig M'gladbach
1–0 R. Baku
T. Gomis
25′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Nusa
T. Gomis
49′
C. Nkunku 🔁
↦ T. Gomis
64′
64′
🔁 D. Herold
↦ W. Mohya
64′
🔁 M. Nguefack
↦ L. Ullrich
64′
🔁 F. Honorat
↦ K. Stoger
64′
🔁 I. Lidberg
↦ R. Hack
3–0 R. Reitz
C. Nkunku
66′
Antonio Nusa 🟨
72′
B. Henrichs 🔁
↦ R. Baku
73′
J. Bakayoko 🔁
↦ B. Gruda
73′
76′
🔁 J. Scally
↦ D. Hashioka
A. Vermeeren 🔁
↦ R. Reitz
83′
C. Harder 🔁
↦ E. Banzuzi
83′
96′
ℹ️ Hugo Bolin
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-3-3
26 M. Vandevoordt G
17 R. Baku D
4 W. Orban D
23 C. Lukeba D
22 D. Raum D
20 R. Reitz M
13 N. Seiwald M
6 E. Banzuzi M
10 B. Gruda F
27 T. Gomis F
7 A. Nusa F
Bench (9)
25 L. Zingerle
35 M. Finkgrafe
39 B. Henrichs
3 M. Esteve
48 A. Vermeeren
30 A. Maksimovic
28 C. Nkunku
11 J. Bakayoko
9 C. Harder

Coach: Martin Demichelis

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 M. Nicolas G
14 D. Hashioka D
6 K. Itakura D
4 K. Diks D
26 L. Ullrich D
16 P. Sander M
7 K. Stoger M
38 H. Bolin M
36 W. Mohya M
25 R. Hack M
11 T. Kleindienst F
Bench (9)
33 D. Batz
20 D. Herold
5 J. Leszczynski
29 J. Scally
34 M. Nguefack
8 E. Leopold
18 S. Machino
9 F. Honorat
3 I. Lidberg

Coach: Eugen Polanski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
U
4,45
B
5,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sven Jablonski · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,02 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.