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DFB-Pokal
Referee: L Kernchen
Krieschow
0–9
Full-time
Mainz
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–5

29% Possession 71%
10 Shots 30
2 Shots on target 12
3 Blocked shots 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +11 3
2 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 SSV Jeddeloh 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Elversberg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Waldhof Mannheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 MSV Duisburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 TSV 1860 Munich 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Heidenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
28 Lüneburger SK Hansa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
29 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -4 0
30 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
31 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
32 Eintracht Trier 1 0 0 1 -6 0
33 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
34 SC St. Tönis 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Krieschow Mainz
19′
⚽ P. Tietz 0–1
P. Mwene
24′
🟨 Sheraldo Becker
26′
⚽ P. Tietz 0–2
A. Caci
32′
⚽ P. Tietz 0–3
P. Mwene
39′
⚽ N. Amiri 0–4
Lee Jae-Sung
43′
⚽ S. Becker 0–5
N. Amiri
Half-time 0–5
V. Schubert 🔁
↦ L. Burger
46′
48′
⚽ N. Amiri 0–6
57′
⚽ P. Tietz 0–7
N. Amiri
62′
🔁 K. Potulski
↦ D. da Costa
62′
🔁 O. Ruoppi
↦ Lee Jae-Sung
62′
🔁 R. Konigsdorffer
↦ S. Becker
A. Stephan 🔁
↦ A. Hebler
64′
C. Wojenmaster 🔁
↦ A. Bittroff
65′
73′
⚽ R. Konigsdorffer 0–8
D. Kohr
74′
🔁 S. Widmer
↦ A. Caci
74′
🔁 W. Boving
↦ P. Tietz
M. Seibt 🔁
↦ T. Michalski
76′
M. Tesche 🔁
↦ P. Pahlow
83′
88′
⚽ W. Boving 0–9
O. Ruoppi
Full-time 0–9

Line-ups

Krieschow

22 J. Fietz G
7 T. Gerstmann D
2 A. Bittroff D
8 C. Raak
4 B. Dressler D
15 L. Burger M
13 M. Zurawsky
33 P. Pahlow M
19 T. Michalski M
11 A. Hebler F
10 M. Rodrigues F
Bench (9)
1 F. Pflug
31 D. Muller
6 M. Tesche
14 A. Stephan
27 C. Wojenmaster
16 V. Schubert
17 M. Seibt
75 F. Schmidt
18 A. Krautz

Mainz

3-1-4-2
27 R. Zentner G
21 D. da Costa D
3 F. Gruber D
31 D. Kohr D
6 K. Sano M
19 A. Caci M
7 Lee Jae-Sung M
10 N. Amiri M
2 P. Mwene M
23 S. Becker F
9 P. Tietz F
Bench (9)
1 A. Schwolow
30 S. Widmer
15 L. Maloney
48 K. Potulski
24 S. Kawasaki
20 O. Ruoppi
11 R. Konigsdorffer
14 W. Boving
47 R. Nakuzola

Coach: Urs Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.