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DFB-Pokal
Referee: T Gansloweit
0–5
Full-time
M'gladbach
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schott Mainz M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
3,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-3,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

22% Possession 78%
4 Shots 30
1 Shots on target 13
1 Blocked shots 1
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 8
5 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +11 3
2 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 SSV Jeddeloh 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Elversberg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Waldhof Mannheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 MSV Duisburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 TSV 1860 Munich 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Heidenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
28 Lüneburger SK Hansa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
29 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -4 0
30 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
31 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
32 Eintracht Trier 1 0 0 1 -6 0
33 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
34 SC St. Tönis 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schott Mainz M'gladbach
22′
H. Bolin 0–1
P. Sander
25′
D. Hashioka 0–2
K. Stoger
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Kevin Diks
48′
H. Bolin 0–3
R. Hack
D. Rudi 🔁
↦ T. Itoi
56′
J. Strasser 🔁
↦ F. Messina
56′
57′
🔁 K. Itakura
↦ J. Leszczynski
61′
L. Ullrich 0–4
H. Bolin
63′
🔁 D. Herold
↦ L. Ullrich
63′
🔁 F. Honorat
↦ R. Hack
67′
W. Mohya 0–5
F. Honorat
70′
🔁 E. Leopold
↦ K. Stoger
70′
🔁 S. Machino
↦ H. Bolin
B. Blum 🔁
↦ A. El Mahaoui
74′
R. Vodi 🔁
↦ K. Zeghli
74′
S. Horozovic 🔁
↦ M. Robotta
85′
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Schott Mainz

3-5-2
32 J. Schulz G
6 D. Ahlbach
5 N. Gans D
24 J. Just D
8 S. Schwarz M
3 M. Robotta
45 F. Messina M
10 J. Mairose M
17 K. Zeghli
11 T. Itoi F
19 A. El Mahaoui F
Bench (9)
42 J. Wiltink
2 B. Blum
18 R. Vodi
20 S. Horozovic
9 G. Auletta
7 D. Rudi
26 B. Kruse
1 R. Balters
21 J. Strasser

Coach: Sascha Meeth

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 M. Nicolas G
14 D. Hashioka D
4 K. Diks D
5 J. Leszczynski D
26 L. Ullrich D
7 K. Stoger M
16 P. Sander M
36 W. Mohya M
38 H. Bolin M
25 R. Hack M
3 I. Lidberg F
Bench (9)
33 D. Batz
6 K. Itakura
20 D. Herold
34 M. Nguefack
8 E. Leopold
18 S. Machino
9 F. Honorat
27 F. Fleck
39 I. M. Danfa

Coach: Eugen Polanski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Gansloweit · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.