Bundesliga
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ein Frankfurt
Freiburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | +3.3 | 10 |
| 2 |
Freiburg
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | +1.8 | 9 |
| 3 |
Dortmund
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | +0.6 | 9 |
| 4 |
Augsburg
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | +1.6 | 7 |
| 5 |
RB Leipzig
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +6 | +2.9 | 6 |
| 6 |
Elversberg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -0.6 | 6 |
| 7 |
Leverkusen
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | +0.6 | 4 |
| 8 |
Mainz
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | +0.5 | 4 |
| 9 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0.4 | 4 |
| 10 |
Werder Bremen
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.8 | 4 |
| 11 |
Schalke 04
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.6 | 4 |
| 12 |
FC Koln
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | +0.1 | 4 |
| 13 |
Hoffenheim
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -0.1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Stuttgart
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -3.3 | 3 |
| 15 |
Paderborn
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -0.5 | 1 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 17 |
M'gladbach
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | -2.9 | 0 |
| 18 |
Hamburg
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | -0.6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
N. Atubolu
G
Elias Baum
D
R. Koch
D
L. Brassier
D
R. Dōan
M
N. Aséko Nkili
M
R. Onyedika
M
K. Kosugi
M
J. Burkardt
M
C. Uzun
M
Y. Ebnoutalib
F
Coach: A. Hütter
M. Backhaus
G
P. Treu
D
M. Ginter
D
P. Lienhart
D
J. Makengo
D
M. Eggestein
M
Y. Engelhardt
M
J. Beste
M
Y. Suzuki
M
D. Scherhant
M
I. Matanović
F
Coach: J. Schuster
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mainz
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Augsburg
Union Berlin
Ein Frankfurt
SC St. Tönis
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Stuttgart
Soren Storks · 35 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.