Bundesliga
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ein Frankfurt
Augsburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Freiburg
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +1.8 | 6 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +0.6 | 6 |
| 3 |
Elversberg
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | -0.6 | 6 |
| 4 |
Mainz
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | +0.5 | 4 |
| 5 |
Bayern Munich
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | +3.3 | 4 |
| 6 |
Leverkusen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | +0.6 | 3 |
| 7 |
Augsburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +1.6 | 3 |
| 8 |
RB Leipzig
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | +2.9 | 3 |
| 9 |
Stuttgart
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -3.3 | 3 |
| 10 |
Werder Bremen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.8 | 3 |
| 11 |
FC Koln
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +0.1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.4 | 1 |
| 13 |
Paderborn
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0.5 | 1 |
| 14 |
Schalke 04
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | -1.6 | 1 |
| 15 |
Union Berlin
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 16 |
Hoffenheim
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -0.1 | 0 |
| 17 |
M'gladbach
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -2.9 | 0 |
| 18 |
Hamburg
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | -0.6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
N. Atubolu
G
Elias Baum
D
R. Koch
D
L. Brassier
D
K. Kosugi
D
R. Dōan
M
M. Götze
M
R. Onyedika
M
C. Uzun
M
Y. Ebnoutalib
F
J. Burkardt
F
Coach: A. Hütter
F. Dahmen
G
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks
D
C. Matsima
D
C. Brackelmann
D
M. Wolf
M
H. Massengo
M
F. Rieder
M
Hennes Behrens
M
A. Ibrahimović
M
R. Fellhauer
M
M. Gregoritsch
F
Coach: M. Baum
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Union Berlin
Ein Frankfurt
SC St. Tönis
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Stuttgart
Dortmund
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Hamburg
Daniel Schlager · 32 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.