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Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Ein Frankfurt
U T T T S
4–1
Full-time
Freiburg
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 53%
56%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
69%
69%
Both score Ø 63%
69%
56%
Average goals
3,7
3,1
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,47 xG 0,52
65% Possession 35%
23 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 3. · Freiburg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 16 12 3 1 +35 +28.5 39
2 Leverkusen 16 10 5 1 +17 +13.0 35
3 Ein Frankfurt 16 9 3 4 +13 +5.5 30
4 RB Leipzig 16 9 3 4 +6 -2.1 30
5 Mainz 16 8 4 4 +10 +0.6 28
6 Freiburg 16 8 3 5 -2 +2.2 27
7 Stuttgart 16 7 5 4 +5 +8.1 26
8 Dortmund 17 7 4 6 +3 +3.5 25
9 Werder Bremen 16 7 4 5 -1 +0.1 25
10 Wolfsburg 16 7 3 6 +5 -3.9 24
11 M'gladbach 16 7 3 6 +4 -2.0 24
12 Union Berlin 16 4 5 7 -7 -4.2 17
13 Augsburg 16 4 4 8 -16 -7.0 16
14 St Pauli 16 4 2 10 -8 -5.5 14
15 Hoffenheim 16 3 5 8 -9 -6.3 14
16 Heidenheim 16 4 1 11 -13 -4.4 13
17 Holstein Kiel 17 3 2 12 -18 -10.1 11
18 Bochum 16 1 3 12 -24 -15.9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Freiburg
28′
🟨 Matthias Ginter
37′
R. Doan 0–1
M. Röhl
1–1 R. Koch
Omar Marmoush
43′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Omar Marmoush
65′
66′
🔁 N. Höfler
↦ V. Grifo
3–1 H. Ekitiké
M. Götze
71′
A. Knauff 🔁
↦ N. Brown
72′
78′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ L. Höler
78′
🔁 J. Adamu
↦ M. Röhl
Tuta 🔁
↦ R. Kristensen
80′
O. Højlund 🔁
↦ H. Larsson
80′
C. Uzun 🔁
↦ H. Ekitiké
81′
4–1 N. Collins
Omar Marmoush
81′
Ellyes Skhiri 🟨
84′
Mahmoud Dahoud 🔁
↦ M. Götze
88′
Full-time 4–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
4,12
B
4,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.