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Super League

Referee: H Sanli

Lugano

S U S U S

1–0

Full-time

Servette

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Servette

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

100%

25%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

3,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,29 xG 1,81

66% Possession 34%

20 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 2. · Servette 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	6	4	2	0	+12	+4.5	14
2	Lugano	4	4	0	0	+10	+1.6	12
3	Basel	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.7	10
4	Luzern	6	2	2	2	-3	-1.8	8
5	St. Gallen	5	2	1	2	-1	+3.8	7
6	Thun	5	2	1	2	-5	-5.0	7
7	Sion	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.1	6
8	Lausanne	6	1	3	2	-1	-2.2	6
9	Zurich	6	2	0	4	-7	-1.6	6
10	Servette	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.0	4
11	Grasshoppers	5	1	1	3	-5	-0.3	4
12	Vaduz	6	1	0	5	-3	-4.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.5	7
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.5	6
3	Sion	3	2	0	1	+3	+4.5	6
4	Luzern	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.9	6
5	St. Gallen	3	1	1	1	+0	+4.0	4
6	Servette	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.9	4
7	Vaduz	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.8	3
8	Basel	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
9	Grasshoppers	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	3
10	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.2	3
11	Lausanne	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.1	2
12	Thun	2	0	1	1	-6	-2.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+8	+2.0	7
2	Basel	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.6	7
3	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.9	6
4	Thun	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.9	6
5	Lausanne	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.1	4
6	St. Gallen	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	3
7	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-5	-1.4	3
8	Luzern	3	0	2	1	-3	-4.7	2
9	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.5	1
10	Servette	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
11	Sion	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Vaduz	4	0	0	4	-5	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.