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Super League

Referee: Marijan Drmic

Thun

T T T U S

0–0

Full-time

Lausanne

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Lausanne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

5,3

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

3,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 35%

50%

20%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

100%

40%

Both score Ø 68%

75%

60%

Average goals

5,8

2,6

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

3,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,58 xG 0,86

57% Possession 43%

22 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

5 Offside 4

19 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Thun 6. · Lausanne 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	6	4	2	0	+12	+4.5	14
2	Lugano	4	4	0	0	+10	+1.6	12
3	Basel	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.7	10
4	St. Gallen	4	2	1	1	+1	+4.2	7
5	Sion	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.1	6
6	Thun	4	2	0	2	-5	-5.7	6
7	Zurich	6	2	0	4	-7	-1.6	6
8	Lausanne	5	1	2	2	-1	-1.5	5
9	Luzern	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.1	5
10	Servette	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.0	4
11	Vaduz	5	1	0	4	-2	-3.4	3
12	Grasshoppers	4	0	1	3	-7	-0.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.5	7
2	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.5	6
3	Sion	3	2	0	1	+3	+4.5	6
4	St. Gallen	3	1	1	1	+0	+4.0	4
5	Servette	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.9	4
6	Vaduz	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.8	3
7	Basel	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
8	Luzern	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.6	3
9	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.2	3
10	Lausanne	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.1	2
11	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
12	Thun	1	0	0	1	-6	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+8	+2.0	7
2	Basel	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.6	7
3	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.9	6
4	Thun	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.9	6
5	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
7	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-5	-1.4	3
8	Luzern	3	0	2	1	-3	-4.7	2
9	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.5	1
10	Servette	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
11	Sion	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Vaduz	3	0	0	3	-4	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.