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Allsvenskan

Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson

Kalmar

T T S U T

0–1

Full-time

Djurgarden

T T S S S

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Djurgarden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 42%

26%

58%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

53%

63%

Both score Ø 45%

47%

42%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,1

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,65 xG 0,48

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 6

1 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kalmar 13. · Djurgarden 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	20	14	3	3	+21	+10.6	45
2	Hammarby	20	11	4	5	+26	+20.8	37
3	Djurgarden	19	11	2	6	+24	+5.8	35
4	Hacken	20	8	8	4	+4	+9.1	32
5	Elfsborg	20	8	7	5	+7	+0.2	31
6	AIK	18	9	4	5	+1	-13.2	31
7	Malmo FF	19	9	2	8	+3	+3.1	29
8	Vasteras SK	20	8	5	7	-6	-1.3	29
9	GAIS	20	7	6	7	+7	+4.6	27
10	Brommapojkarna	20	7	6	7	-3	-6.3	27
11	Goteborg	19	6	5	8	-15	+1.1	23
12	Mjallby	18	5	5	8	-5	+1.7	20
13	Kalmar	19	5	4	10	-8	-0.6	19
14	Degerfors	20	5	4	11	-12	-10.4	19
15	Orgryte	20	3	6	11	-20	-11.2	15
16	Halmstad	20	2	5	13	-24	-13.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	10	8	1	1	+26	+12.0	25
2	Sirius	10	6	2	2	+8	+6.1	20
3	GAIS	11	5	4	2	+12	+4.5	19
4	Elfsborg	10	5	3	2	+7	-0.2	18
5	Kalmar	9	5	2	2	+3	-2.5	17
6	Djurgarden	10	5	1	4	+15	+3.8	16
7	Hacken	10	4	4	2	+0	+6.4	16
8	Brommapojkarna	10	4	3	3	+3	-2.8	15
9	Goteborg	10	4	3	3	+1	+5.3	15
10	Vasteras SK	10	3	4	3	+2	+1.4	13
11	AIK	8	4	0	4	-4	-3.8	12
12	Degerfors	10	3	2	5	-3	-5.7	11
13	Mjallby	9	3	1	5	-1	+2.6	10
14	Malmo FF	9	3	0	6	+1	+4.6	9
15	Orgryte	10	1	6	3	-2	-0.9	9
16	Halmstad	10	2	2	6	-10	-6.4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	10	8	1	1	+13	+4.5	25
2	Malmo FF	10	6	2	2	+2	-1.5	20
3	Djurgarden	9	6	1	2	+9	+2.1	19
4	AIK	10	5	4	1	+5	-9.4	19
5	Hacken	10	4	4	2	+4	+2.7	16
6	Vasteras SK	10	5	1	4	-8	-2.7	16
7	Elfsborg	10	3	4	3	+0	+0.4	13
8	Hammarby	10	3	3	4	+0	+8.7	12
9	Brommapojkarna	10	3	3	4	-6	-3.5	12
10	Mjallby	9	2	4	3	-4	-0.8	10
11	GAIS	9	2	2	5	-5	+0.1	8
12	Degerfors	10	2	2	6	-9	-4.7	8
13	Goteborg	9	2	2	5	-16	-4.2	8
14	Orgryte	10	2	0	8	-18	-10.3	6
15	Halmstad	10	0	3	7	-14	-7.5	3
16	Kalmar	10	0	2	8	-11	+1.9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Apr -26 Djurgarden – Kalmar 3–2 6. Oct -24 Djurgarden – Kalmar 1–1 20. Jul -24 Kalmar – Djurgarden 2–1 12. Nov -23 Kalmar – Djurgarden 2–1 8. May -23 Djurgarden – Kalmar 3–1

Match report

Kalmar Djurgarden

Abdussalam Magashy 🟨

5′

40′

🟨 Christos Almyras

45′

🔁 Charlie Rosenquist

↦ Kristian Stromland Lien

45′

🔁 Oskar Fallenius

↦ Patric Aslund

Half-time 0–0

61′

🟨 Bo Åsulv Hegland

63′

🟨 Max Larsson

65′

⚽ Bo Åsulv Hegland 0–1

Malcolm Stolt 🔁

↦ Eskild Dall

68′

71′

🔁 Adam Stahl

↦ Jeppe Okkels

71′

🔁 Peter Langhoff

↦ Christos Almyras

Melker Hallberg 🔁

↦ Abdussalam Magashy

72′

Noah Shamoun 🔁

↦ Tobias Lauritsen

72′

Toni Koskela 🟨

84′

88′

🔁 Mikael Marques

↦ Bo Åsulv Hegland

Lars Saetra 🔁

↦ Victor Larsson

88′

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kalmar

S. Brolin G

M. Söderbäck M

C. Sagoe F

R. Gojani M

A. Magashy M

J. Löfgren D

8 Tobias Lauritsen M

V. Larsson D

A. Keita D

M. Ylitolva D

E. Dall F

Bench (8)

20 A. Almqvist

32 C. Andersson

5 M. Hallberg

14 E. Imeri

3 S. Øverby

39 L. Sætra

25 N. Shamoun

9 M. Stolt

Coach: T. Koskela

Djurgarden

J. Une-Larsson D

Christos Almyras M

P. Åslund F

Bo Åsulv Hegland M

P. Johansson M

M. Larsson D

K. Lien F

J. Okkels F

M. Siltanen M

M. Tenho D

J. Rinne G

Bench (9)

18 A. Ståhl

14 C. Rosenquist

27 S. Ringberg

21 M. Marques

6 P. Langhoff

30 Lukas Henrik Jonsson

29 A. Johansson

11 O. Fallenius

28 Alexander Andersson

Coach: Jani Honkavaara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

4,75

🔒

Bet365 5,00 Pinnacle 4,97 Unibet 4,90 Dafabet 4,90 Marathonbet 4,80 10Bet 4,75 Betano 4,75 Betfair 4,75 BetVictor 4,75 1xBet 4,74 Superbet 4,65 William Hill 4,60 SBO 4,39

3,90

🔒

Pinnacle 4,23 Dafabet 4,10 1xBet 4,00 Betfair 4,00 Superbet 4,00 Marathonbet 4,00 10Bet 3,90 Bet365 3,90 BetVictor 3,90 Betano 3,85 Unibet 3,80 William Hill 3,80 SBO 3,67

B ✓

1,65

🔒

Bet365 1,67 Betano 1,67 Dafabet 1,67 Unibet 1,66 SBO 1,65 10Bet 1,65 1xBet 1,65 Pinnacle 1,65 Superbet 1,65 Marathonbet 1,63 Betfair 1,62 William Hill 1,62 BetVictor 1,60

Over/under goals

O1,5

1,20

🔒