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Allsvenskan

Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson

Elfsborg

S T S S S

4–0

Full-time

Djurgarden

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Djurgarden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 53%

67%

38%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

44%

25%

Both score Ø 41%

44%

38%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,9

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,29 xG 0,19

36% Possession 64%

10 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Elfsborg 4. · Djurgarden 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	10	7	2	1	+13	+1.5	23
2	AIK	10	6	4	0	+7	+1.3	22
3	Hammarby	10	6	3	1	+12	+6.6	21
4	Elfsborg	9	6	1	2	+5	+4.7	19
5	Malmo FF	10	5	3	2	+7	+6.7	18
6	Hacken	10	4	2	4	-1	+2.0	14
7	Norrkoping	10	4	1	5	+0	-4.1	13
8	Degerfors	10	4	1	5	-3	-0.7	13
9	Goteborg	10	4	1	5	-3	+1.7	13
10	GAIS	10	2	6	2	+1	+1.0	12
11	Djurgarden	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.4	11
12	Brommapojkarna	9	3	1	5	-2	+0.4	10
13	Halmstad	10	3	1	6	-12	-7.7	10
14	Sirius	10	2	3	5	-4	-3.7	9
15	Oster	10	2	1	7	-7	-5.7	7
16	Varnamo	10	0	2	8	-11	-3.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	5	4	1	0	+9	+5.8	13
2	Mjallby	5	4	1	0	+7	+1.4	13
3	Elfsborg	5	4	1	0	+6	+1.7	13
4	AIK	5	3	2	0	+4	+1.9	11
5	Malmo FF	5	3	1	1	+5	+4.2	10
6	Hacken	6	2	2	2	+0	+3.3	8
7	Norrkoping	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.3	6
8	Halmstad	5	2	0	3	-6	-4.2	6
9	GAIS	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.2	5
10	Djurgarden	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.7	5
11	Goteborg	5	1	1	3	-2	+3.0	4
12	Sirius	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.0	4
13	Oster	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.1	4
14	Degerfors	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.1	4
15	Brommapojkarna	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-5	-1.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	5	3	2	0	+3	-0.6	11
2	Mjallby	5	3	1	1	+6	+0.1	10
3	Degerfors	5	3	0	2	+2	+2.5	9
4	Goteborg	5	3	0	2	-1	-1.2	9
5	Hammarby	5	2	2	1	+3	+0.8	8
6	Malmo FF	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.4	8
7	Norrkoping	5	2	1	2	+0	-4.4	7
8	Brommapojkarna	6	2	1	3	+0	-0.1	7
9	GAIS	6	1	4	1	+0	+0.8	7
10	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.3	6
11	Hacken	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.3	6
12	Elfsborg	4	2	0	2	-1	+3.0	6
13	Sirius	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.7	5
14	Halmstad	5	1	1	3	-6	-3.5	4
15	Oster	5	1	0	4	-4	-2.5	3
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-6	-2.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.