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Allsvenskan
Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim
Goteborg
S T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Elfsborg
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 35%
29%
41%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
59%
47%
Both score Ø 62%
59%
65%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
2,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
24 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goteborg 12. · Elfsborg 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 18 13 3 2 +21 +10.6 42
2 Hammarby 17 10 3 4 +25 +16.4 33
3 Hacken 18 8 7 3 +6 +9.2 31
4 AIK 17 8 4 5 +0 -10.9 28
5 Elfsborg 17 7 6 4 +6 -1.1 27
6 Djurgarden 16 8 2 6 +15 +5.8 26
7 Malmo FF 17 8 2 7 +5 +3.1 26
8 Vasteras SK 17 7 4 6 -7 -1.2 25
9 GAIS 17 6 5 6 +5 +4.7 23
10 Brommapojkarna 17 5 6 6 -2 -5.4 21
11 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 +1 +1.7 20
12 Goteborg 17 5 4 8 -16 +0.0 19
13 Kalmar 17 5 3 9 -7 -1.3 18
14 Degerfors 17 4 4 9 -10 -8.2 16
15 Orgryte 18 3 5 10 -19 -10.2 14
16 Halmstad 18 1 5 12 -23 -13.3 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goteborg Elfsborg
Tobias Heintz 🟨
31′
37′
🟨 Simon Olsson
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 S. Hedlund
↦ S. Olsson
58′
🟨 Rasmus Wikström
62′
🟨 Julius Beck
1–0 S. Larsson
63′
Hjörtur Hermannsson 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 A. Sigurpalsson
↦ O. Nordvall
A. Boren 🔁
↦ T. Heintz
82′
85′
🔁 R. Mohammed
↦ R. Wikstrom
85′
🔁 F. Ihler
↦ A. Zeneli
I. Seidu 🔁
↦ A. Bergmark-Wiberg
88′
90′
L. Ostman 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Goteborg

4-4-2
12 V. Andersson G
18 F. Eriksson D
3 A. Erlingmark D
6 H. Hermannsson D
22 N. Tolf D
29 A. Bergmark-Wiberg M
15 D. Kruse M
24 O. Mansson M
14 T. Heintz M
8 S. Larsson F
7 S. Clemmensen F
Bench (9)
25 E. Bishesari
5 J. Bager
28 I. Seidu
21 L. Radakovic
16 F. Ottosson
26 E. Fasth
9 M. Fenger
27 A. Boren
30 T. Coimbra

Coach: Joachim Bjorklund

Elfsborg

4-2-3-1
31 I. Pettersson G
16 A. Jensen D
6 R. Wikstrom D
4 T. Isherwood D
23 N. Hult D
5 O. Nordvall M
10 S. Olsson M
29 M. Kamara M
19 J. Beck M
9 A. Zeneli M
21 L. Ostman F
Bench (9)
1 T. Erlandsson
12 T. Sander
2 R. Mohammed
15 S. Hedlund
28 F. Aronsson
25 A. Sigurpalsson
22 D. Krasniqi
24 F. Ihler
11 T. Silverholt

Coach: Bjorn Hamberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mohammed Al-Hakim · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.