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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Gryckiewicz
4–1
Full-time
Motor Lublin
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Motor Lublin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
6,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
5,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,26 xG 1,92
42% Possession 58%
19 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 16. · Motor Lublin 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Cracovia 2 2 0 0 +5 +0.6 6
2 Gornik Zabrze 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.1 6
3 Radomiak Radom 2 1 1 0 +4 -0.1 4
4 Nieciecza 2 1 0 1 +2 +0.7 3
5 Wisla Plock 1 1 0 0 +2 +3.0 3
6 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.1 3
7 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.1 3
8 Motor Lublin 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.9 3
9 Arka Gdynia 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.9 1
10 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
11 Piast Gliwice 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.1 0
12 Zaglebie 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.1 0
13 GKS Katowice 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.1 0
14 Korona Kielce 1 0 0 1 -2 -3.0 0
15 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 -3 +0.1 0
16 Pogon Szczecin 1 0 0 1 -4 +0.1 0
17 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 -4 -1.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pogon Szczecin Motor Lublin
9′
M. Scalet 0–1
1–1 M. Huja
K. Grosicki
15′
20′
🟨 Arkadiusz Najemski
2–1 E. Koulouris
A. Przyborek
41′
Paul Mukairu 🟨
43′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 F. Ulvestad
M. Huja
49′
Leonardo Koutris 🟨
51′
58′
🔁 S. Samper
↦ J. Labojko
58′
🔁 I. Rodrigues
↦ M. Scalet
58′
🔁 K. Czubak
↦ R. Dadashov
Leo Borges 🔁
↦ L. Koutris
63′
M. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ J. Pozo
63′
74′
🔁 B. van Hoeven
↦ M. Krol
M. Juwara 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
75′
K. Kaminski 🔁
↦ V. Cojocaru
75′
80′
🔁 P. Stolarski
↦ F. Wojcik
4–1 E. Koulouris
Leo Borges
88′
K. Smolinski 🔁
↦ A. Przyborek
89′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Pogon Szczecin

4-1-4-1
77 V. Cojocaru G
28 L. Wahlqvist D
22 D. Loncar D
2 M. Huja D
32 L. Koutris D
8 F. Ulvestad M
18 P. Mukairu M
14 J. Pozo M
10 A. Przyborek M
11 K. Grosicki M
9 E. Koulouris F
Bench (12)
4 Leo Borges
6 J. Bieganski
7 M. Juwara
13 D. Keramitsis
17 J. Lis
19 M. Ndiaye
20 P. Paryzek
31 K. Kaminski
35 M. Wojciechowski
47 N. Lawa
61 K. Smolinski
99 K. Kostorz

Coach: Thomas Thomasberg

Motor Lublin

4-3-3
33 G. Tratnik G
17 F. Wojcik D
18 A. Najemski D
3 H. Matthys D
47 K. Palacz D
68 B. Wolski M
21 J. Labojko M
8 M. Scalet M
26 M. Krol F
77 R. Dadashov F
30 M. Ndiaye F
Bench (12)
1 I. Brkic
2 P. Meyer
6 S. Samper
7 I. Rodrigues
9 K. Czubak
16 F. Lewandowski
19 B. van Hoeven
22 Kikis
23 F. Haxha
24 F. Luberecki
28 P. Stolarski
42 B. Ede

Coach: Mateusz Stolarski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Gryckiewicz · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.