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Conference League
Referee: Michal Očenáš
Rakow
S T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Arda Kardzhali
U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Arda Kardzhali
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
67%
25%
Both score Ø 46%
67%
25%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rakow Arda Kardzhali
1–0 T. Pienko ⚽
28′
Half-time 1–0
O. Repka 🔁
↦ P. Barath
46′
J. Brunes 🔁
↦ L. Rocha
60′
J. Diaz 🔁
↦ T. Pienko
60′
60′
🔁 A. Shinyashiki
↦ B. Karagaren
60′
🔁 A. Vutov
↦ S. Yusein
I. Lopez 🔁
↦ L. Diaby-Fadiga
67′
J. Silva 🔁
↦ F. Tudor
76′
82′
🔁 Patrick Luan
↦ G. Nikolov
82′
🔁 I. Mane
↦ S. Kovachev
91′
🔁 E. Viyachki
↦ C. Huseynov
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-3
1 K. Trelowski G
25 B. Racovitan D
24 Z. Arsenic D
4 S. Svarnas D
7 F. Tudor M
88 P. Barath M
5 M. Bulat M
26 E. Otieno M
80 L. Diaby-Fadiga F
17 L. Rocha F
8 T. Pienko F
Bench (12)
39 J. Madrzyk
48 O. Zych
2 A. Mosor
6 O. Repka
10 I. Lopez
11 Adriano
18 J. Brunes
19 M. Ameyaw
20 J. Silva
23 K. Struski
28 J. Diaz
66 A. Konstantopoulos

Coach: Marek Papszun

Arda Kardzhali

1 A. Gospodinov G
21 V. Velev D
93 F. Eboa D
18 C. Huseynov D
35 D. Velkovski D
4 D. Idowu M
80 L. Kotev M
10 S. Kovachev M
20 S. Yusein M
99 B. Karagaren M
9 G. Nikolov
Bench (10)
92 M. Yusuf
2 Gustavo Cascardo
11 A. Shinyashiki
17 Patrick Luan
23 E. Viyachki
26 B. Akandzha
30 I. Kazakov
33 I. Tilev
39 A. Vutov
45 I. Mane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.