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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Pogon Szczecin

S U S S S

1–1

Full-time

Rakow

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

0,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 60%

57%

62%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

69%

Both score Ø 45%

36%

54%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,9

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,47 xG 1,14

53% Possession 47%

21 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 2

0 Offside 5

5 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 5. · Rakow 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	15	10	3	2	+14	+4.1	33
2	Jagiellonia	15	9	3	3	+15	+5.9	30
3	Lech Poznan	14	8	4	2	+9	-3.4	28
4	Rakow	13	8	2	3	+14	+6.0	26
5	Pogon Szczecin	14	8	1	5	+12	+8.1	25
6	Legia	13	7	2	4	+3	+2.0	23
7	Zaglebie	15	6	3	6	-7	+0.4	21
8	Gornik Zabrze	15	5	4	6	-2	-5.6	19
9	Radomiak Radom	14	5	3	6	-1	+0.5	18
10	Stal Mielec	15	5	3	7	-2	-7.2	18
11	Piast Gliwice	15	2	11	2	+0	+10.6	17
12	Warta Poznan	15	4	5	6	-2	-1.1	17
13	Korona Kielce	14	3	7	4	+0	-0.6	16
14	Widzew Lodz	14	4	4	6	-3	-5.1	16
15	Cracovia	14	3	6	5	-6	-0.2	15
16	Puszcza	15	3	4	8	-12	-8.3	13
17	Ruch Chorzow	13	1	5	7	-11	-3.1	8
18	LKS Lodz	15	2	2	11	-21	-3.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	7	7	0	0	+17	+8.1	21
2	Rakow	8	6	2	0	+16	+5.5	20
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	2	0	+13	+0.7	20
4	Slask Wroclaw	7	5	1	1	+8	+4.6	16
5	Legia	7	5	0	2	+7	+5.2	15
6	Zaglebie	8	4	3	1	+3	+3.6	15
7	Stal Mielec	8	4	2	2	+5	-0.9	14
8	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	0	3	+4	+9.8	12
9	Widzew Lodz	6	4	0	2	+2	+1.9	12
10	Gornik Zabrze	7	3	2	2	-1	-2.9	11
11	Korona Kielce	7	2	4	1	+3	+5.0	10
12	Piast Gliwice	7	2	4	1	+1	+7.6	10
13	Radomiak Radom	7	2	3	2	+2	+1.5	9
14	Puszcza	7	2	3	2	-2	-0.7	9
15	LKS Lodz	7	2	2	3	-7	-2.2	8
16	Warta Poznan	8	1	3	4	-4	-0.2	6
17	Cracovia	7	1	3	3	-6	-1.0	6
18	Ruch Chorzow	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	8	5	2	1	+6	-0.5	17
2	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	1	2	+8	-1.7	13
3	Warta Poznan	7	3	2	2	+2	-0.8	11
4	Cracovia	7	2	3	2	+0	+0.8	9
5	Jagiellonia	8	2	3	3	-2	-2.1	9
6	Radomiak Radom	7	3	0	4	-3	-1.0	9
7	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	2	4	-1	-2.8	8
8	Legia	6	2	2	2	-4	-3.2	8
9	Lech Poznan	6	2	2	2	-4	-4.1	8
10	Piast Gliwice	8	0	7	1	-1	+3.0	7
11	Rakow	5	2	0	3	-2	+0.5	6
12	Korona Kielce	7	1	3	3	-3	-5.6	6
13	Zaglebie	7	2	0	5	-10	-3.2	6
14	Widzew Lodz	8	0	4	4	-5	-6.9	4
15	Stal Mielec	7	1	1	5	-7	-6.4	4
16	Puszcza	8	1	1	6	-10	-7.7	4
17	Ruch Chorzow	7	0	3	4	-7	-2.3	3
18	LKS Lodz	8	0	0	8	-14	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.