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Conference League
Referee: Igor Pajač
Arda Kardzhali
U U S S T
1–2
Full-time
Rakow
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arda Kardzhali Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 54%
40%
67%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
20%
50%
Both score Ø 35%
20%
50%
Average goals
1,6
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
40%
80%
Points per game
1,6
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 20%
20%
20%
Average goals
1,6
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,6
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
2 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -25 Rakow – Arda Kardzhali 1–0

Match report

Arda Kardzhali Rakow
2′
⚽ P. Barath 0–1
35′
🟨 Bogdan Racovițan
44′
🟨 Péter Baráth
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 A. Vutov
↦ S. Yusein
Georgi Nikolov 🟨
48′
1–1 A. Vutov ⚽
59′
I. Lopez 🔁
↦ M. Ameyaw
60′
J. Diaz 🔁
↦ T. Pienko
60′
66′
🔁 Gustavo Cascardo
↦ V. Velev
66′
🔁 A. Shinyashiki
↦ B. Karagaren
Georgi Nikolov 🟨
70′
Georgi Nikolov 🟥
70′
M. Bulat 🔁
↦ P. Barath
73′
Adriano 🔁
↦ J. Silva
79′
L. Rocha 🔁
↦ J. Brunes
79′
80′
🔁 Patrick Luan
↦ D. Idowu
85′
🔁 I. Mane
↦ S. Kovachev
90′
⚽ I. Lopez 1–2
Dimitar Velkovski 🟥
91′
Andre Shinyashiki 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Jesus Diaz
Patrick 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Arda Kardzhali

1 K. Trelowski
25 B. Racovitan
24 Z. Arsenic
4 S. Svarnas
7 F. Tudor
88 P. Barath
6 O. Repka
20 J. Silva
19 M. Ameyaw
18 J. Brunes
8 T. Pienko
Bench (10)
39 J. Madrzyk
2 A. Mosor
5 M. Bulat
10 I. Lopez
11 Adriano
17 L. Rocha
23 K. Struski
28 J. Diaz
66 A. Konstantopoulos
80 L. Diaby-Fadiga

Rakow

3-4-3
1 A. Gospodinov
21 V. Velev
93 F. Eboa
18 C. Huseynov
35 D. Velkovski
80 L. Kotev
4 D. Idowu
10 S. Kovachev
20 S. Yusein
99 B. Karagaren
9 G. Nikolov
Bench (11)
92 M. Yusuf
2 Gustavo Cascardo
11 A. Shinyashiki
17 Patrick Luan
23 E. Viyachki
26 B. Akandzha
27 B. Todev
30 I. Kazakov
33 I. Tilev
39 A. Vutov
45 I. Mane

Coach: Marek Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.