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Serie B
Referee: P Tremolada
Sudtirol
T U T S S
2–1
Full-time
Cosenza
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 26%
31%
20%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
57%
40%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
51%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sudtirol 11. · Cosenza 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 35 25 6 4 +43 81
2 Pisa 35 21 7 7 +25 70
3 Spezia 35 16 15 4 +26 63
4 Cremonese 35 15 12 8 +18 57
5 Juve Stabia 35 14 11 10 +2 53
6 Palermo 35 13 9 13 +8 48
7 Catanzaro 35 10 18 7 +4 48
8 Bari 35 9 17 9 +2 44
9 Modena 35 10 14 11 +0 44
10 Cesena 35 11 11 13 -4 44
11 Sudtirol 35 11 8 16 -8 41
12 Carrarese 35 10 11 14 -10 41
13 Mantova 35 9 13 13 -8 40
14 Frosinone 35 8 15 12 -12 39
15 Brescia 35 8 14 13 -7 38
16 Reggiana 35 9 11 15 -11 38
17 Sampdoria 35 7 15 13 -12 36
18 Salernitana 35 9 9 17 -13 36
19 Cittadella 35 9 9 17 -23 36
20 Cosenza 35 7 13 15 -20 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Cosenza
Hamza El Kaouakibi 🟨
-5′
Salvatore Molina 🟨
6′
Matteo Rover 🟨
14′
18′
S. Mazzocchi 0–1
M. Zilli
Niklas Pyyhtiä ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
38′
43′
🟨 Aldo Florenzi
1–1 S. Molina
S. Davì
45′
Half-time 1–1
S. Merkaj 🔁
↦ M. Rover
46′
Silvio Merkaj 🟨
56′
59′
🟨 Tommaso D'Orazio
60′
🟨 Aldo Florenzi
60′
🟥 Aldo Florenzi
64′
🔁 M. Ricciardi
↦ R. Ciervo
64′
🔁 C. Kouan
↦ A. Caporale
65′
🔁 G. Artistico
↦ M. Zilli
2–1 S. Davì
F. Veseli
68′
70′
🔁 J. Cruz
↦ S. Mazzocchi
Raphael Kofler 🟨
71′
L. Belardinelli 🔁
↦ N. Pyyhtiä
72′
F. Tait 🔁
↦ D. Casiraghi
72′
77′
🟨 Gabriele Artistico
H. El Kaouakibi 🔁
↦ R. Kofler
84′
84′
🔁 J. Novello
↦ M. Gargiulo
G. Gori 🔁
↦ R. Odogwu
88′
Gabriele Gori 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-5-2
31 M. Adamonis G
34 F. Veseli D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
5 A. Masiello D
79 S. Molina M
18 N. Pyyhtiä M
28 R. Kofler M
17 D. Casiraghi M
24 S. Davì M
90 R. Odogwu F
7 M. Rover F
Bench (12)
33 S. Merkaj
20 L. Belardinelli
21 F. Tait
2 H. El Kaouakibi
9 G. Gori
8 A. Mallamo
1 G. Poluzzi
30 A. Giorgini
63 E. Vergani
14 F. Davi
6 J. Martini
16 E. Lamanna

Coach: F. Castori

Cosenza

3-4-2-1
1 A. Micai G
29 F. Sgarbi D
55 A. Hristov D
17 A. Caporale D
19 R. Ciervo M
5 M. Gargiulo M
34 A. Florenzi M
11 T. D'Orazio M
30 S. Mazzocchi F
20 A. Rizzo Pinna F
21 M. Zilli F
Bench (12)
16 M. Ricciardi
28 C. Kouan
9 G. Artistico
18 J. Cruz
36 J. Novello
12 G. Baldi
2 B. Cimino
23 M. Venturi
10 T. Fumagalli
39 C. Kourfalidis
22 T. Vettorel
41 L. Contiero

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
3,42
B
4,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Tremolada · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.