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Serie B
Referee: A Rapuano
Sampdoria
T S T U U
1–0
Full-time
Salernitana
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Salernitana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 24%
19%
28%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
42%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 18. · Salernitana 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 36 25 7 4 +43 82
2 Pisa 36 21 7 8 +24 70
3 Spezia 36 16 15 5 +25 63
4 Cremonese 36 15 13 8 +18 58
5 Juve Stabia 36 14 12 10 +2 54
6 Catanzaro 36 10 19 7 +4 49
7 Palermo 36 13 9 14 +7 48
8 Bari 36 10 17 9 +3 47
9 Cesena 36 12 11 13 -3 47
10 Modena 36 10 14 12 -1 44
11 Sudtirol 36 12 8 16 -7 44
12 Carrarese 36 11 11 14 -9 44
13 Reggiana 36 10 11 15 -10 41
14 Mantova 36 9 13 14 -10 40
15 Frosinone 36 8 16 12 -12 40
16 Brescia 36 8 15 13 -7 39
17 Salernitana 36 10 9 17 -11 39
18 Sampdoria 36 7 16 13 -12 37
19 Cittadella 36 9 10 17 -23 37
20 Cosenza 36 7 13 16 -21 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Salernitana
R. Oudin 🔁
↦ F. Borini
37′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Meulensteen
A. Ferrari
46′
46′
🔁 A. Hrustić
↦ F. Zuccon
47′
🟨 Alberto Cerri
60′
🔁 S. Nwankwo
↦ A. Cerri
72′
🔁 P. Stojanović
↦ P. Ghiglione
Melle Meulensteen 🟨
73′
L. Benedetti 🔁
↦ M. Meulensteen
77′
Alessio Cragno 🟨
80′
A. Bellemo 🔁
↦ G. Sibilli
80′
L. Venuti 🔁
↦ F. Depaoli
80′
Leonardo Benedetti 🟨
81′
81′
🔁 A. Raimondo
↦ D. Verde
81′
🔁 F. Tongya
↦ R. Soriano
M'Baye Niang 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sampdoria

3-4-2-1
94 A. Cragno G
26 G. Altare D
25 A. Ferrari D
5 A. Riccio D
23 F. Depaoli M
4 R. Vieira M
17 M. Meulensteen M
21 P. Beruatto M
33 G. Sibilli F
16 F. Borini F
19 M. Niang F
Bench (12)
20 R. Oudin
80 L. Benedetti
7 A. Bellemo
18 L. Venuti
44 N. Ioannou
22 S. Ghidotti
15 E. Akinsanmiro
2 M. Curto
84 N. Sekulov
9 M. Coda
90 F. Abiuso
8 M. Ricci

Coach: A. Evani

Salernitana

3-4-2-1
53 O. Christensen G
13 F. Ruggeri D
33 G. Ferrari D
47 L. Lochoshvili D
29 P. Ghiglione M
73 L. Amatucci M
98 F. Zuccon M
16 T. Corazza M
31 D. Verde F
21 R. Soriano F
90 A. Cerri F
Bench (12)
8 A. Hrustić
9 S. Nwankwo
30 P. Stojanović
99 A. Raimondo
7 F. Tongya
70 A. Tello
17 L. Njoh
55 L. Sepe
19 J. Reine-Adélaïde
15 D. Bronn
18 F. Caligara
44 P. Jaroszyński

Coach: P. Marino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,20
B
3,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Rapuano · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.