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Coppa Italia

Referee: L Zufferli

Spezia

S S S U T

1–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,2

1,3

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 5

18 Free kicks against 21

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Pescara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
3	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.