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Serie B
Referee: Gianluca Aureliano
Sampdoria
T U U S U
2–0
Full-time
Salernitana
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Salernitana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
39%
37%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
45%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
23 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sampdoria 18. · Salernitana 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 38 25 7 6 +40 82
2 Pisa 38 22 8 8 +25 74
3 Spezia 42 19 16 7 +28 73
4 Cremonese 42 18 14 10 +21 68
5 Juve Stabia 41 16 13 12 +0 61
6 Catanzaro 41 12 20 9 +4 56
7 Cesena 39 14 11 14 -2 53
8 Palermo 39 14 10 15 +8 52
9 Bari 38 10 18 10 +1 48
10 Sudtirol 38 12 10 16 -7 46
11 Modena 38 10 15 13 -2 45
12 Carrarese 38 11 12 15 -10 45
13 Mantova 38 10 14 14 -9 44
14 Reggiana 38 11 11 16 -10 44
15 Brescia 38 9 16 13 -6 43
16 Frosinone 38 9 16 13 -13 43
17 Salernitana 38 11 9 18 -10 42
18 Sampdoria 38 8 17 13 -11 41
19 Cittadella 38 10 10 18 -23 40
20 Cosenza 38 7 13 18 -24 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Salernitana
1–0 M. Meulensteen
A. Ferrari
39′
Fabio Depaoli 🟨
40′
Gerard Yepes 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Paolo Ghiglione
57′
🟨 Franco Tongya
58′
🟨 Simy
69′
🔁 A. Cerri
↦ S. Nwankwo
69′
🔁 P. Stojanović
↦ T. Corazza
S. Ghidotti 🔁
↦ A. Cragno
71′
M. Curto 🔁
↦ A. Ferrari
76′
F. Borini 🔁
↦ M. Coda
76′
Lorenzo Venuti 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 R. Soriano
↦ F. Caligara
N. Ioannou 🔁
↦ L. Venuti
83′
L. Benedetti 🔁
↦ M. Meulensteen
83′
2–0 M. Curto
86′
89′
🔁 A. Raimondo
↦ F. Tongya
Fabio Borini ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
91′
Fabio Borini 🟥
92′
96′
🟨 Antonio Raimondo
96′
🟥 Petar Stojanović
Davide Veroli 🟨
98′
Nicholas Ioannou 🟨
100′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sampdoria

5-3-2
94 A. Cragno G
23 F. Depaoli D
5 A. Riccio D
25 A. Ferrari D
72 D. Veroli D
18 L. Venuti D
17 M. Meulensteen M
28 Gerard Yepes M
4 R. Vieira M
9 M. Coda F
33 G. Sibilli F
Bench (12)
44 N. Ioannou
80 L. Benedetti
2 M. Curto
16 F. Borini
22 S. Ghidotti
7 A. Bellemo
84 N. Sekulov
8 M. Ricci
15 E. Akinsanmiro
90 F. Abiuso
20 R. Oudin
24 B. Bereszyński

Coach: Alberico Evani

Salernitana

3-4-2-1
53 O. Christensen G
13 F. Ruggeri D
33 G. Ferrari D
47 L. Lochoshvili D
29 P. Ghiglione M
8 A. Hrustić M
73 L. Amatucci M
16 T. Corazza M
18 F. Caligara F
7 F. Tongya F
9 S. Nwankwo F
Bench (12)
99 A. Raimondo
21 R. Soriano
90 A. Cerri
30 P. Stojanović
72 S. Girelli
70 A. Tello
19 J. Reine-Adélaïde
44 P. Jaroszyński
15 D. Bronn
17 L. Njoh
55 L. Sepe
31 D. Verde

Coach: Pasquale Marino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.