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Coppa Italia

Referee: S Galipo

Como

S S S U T

3–1

Full-time

Sudtirol

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Sudtirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

79% Possession 21%

16 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 0

0 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Audace Cerignola	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Audace Cerignola	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
2	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
4	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
5	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
7	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
8	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.