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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Elversberg
U S T S S
3–2
Full-time
Leverkusen
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,3
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,27 xG 1,88
33% Possession 67%
11 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Oct -24 Leverkusen – Elversberg 3–0 30. Jul -22 Elversberg – Leverkusen 4–3

Match report

Elversberg Leverkusen
1–0 L. Petkov ⚽
F. Onyeka
8′
2–0 C. Campbell ⚽
9′
Maximilian Rohr 🟨
29′
Cole Campbell 🟨
41′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 D. Mokwa Ntusu ⚽
L. Petkov
46′
53′
🟨 Ibrahim Maza
55′
🔁 F. Medina
↦ E. Fernandez
55′
🔁 J. Quansah
↦ L. Bade
55′
🔁 C. Kofane
↦ Lucas
M. Krattenmacher 🔁
↦ C. Campbell
65′
N. Darvich 🔁
↦ F. Onyeka
65′
65′
🔁 J. Hofmann
↦ M. Tillman
L. Sirch 🔁
↦ J. Gyamerah
75′
L. Schnellbacher 🔁
↦ D. Mokwa Ntusu
75′
77′
⚽ P. Schick 3–1
I. Maza
78′
🟨 Facundo Medina
F. Le Joncour 🔁
↦ M. Rohr
82′
85′
🔁 V. Boniface
↦ A. Moreira
Nicolas Kristof 🟨
89′
90′
⚽ C. Kofane 3–2
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
30 J. Gyamerah D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
21 L. Gunther D
43 F. Keidel M
8 L. Poreba M
25 L. Petkov M
40 F. Onyeka M
39 C. Campbell M
42 D. Mokwa Ntusu F
Bench (9)
28 T. Boss
2 N. Mickelson
26 L. Sirch
3 F. Le Joncour
6 A. Conde
7 M. Krattenmacher
10 N. Darvich
24 L. Schnellbacher
9 N. Futkeu

Coach: Vincent Wagner

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 M. Flekken G
17 Lucas D
5 L. Bade D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 M. Gutierrez D
6 E. Fernandez M
24 A. Garcia M
30 I. Maza M
10 M. Tillman M
9 A. Moreira M
14 P. Schick F
Bench (9)
28 J. Blaswich
2 F. Medina
4 J. Quansah
13 Arthur
44 J. Belocian
7 J. Hofmann
8 R. Andrich
22 V. Boniface
35 C. Kofane

Coach: Carles Martinez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,90
🔒
U
4,41
🔒
B
1,57
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,45
🔒
U2,5
2,65
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.