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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Robin Braun
Schalke 04
S S S T T
1–0
Full-time
Elversberg
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 69%
73%
64%
Points per game
2,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 36%
36%
36%
Average goals
2,0
3,1
Scored
1,4
2,2
Conceded
0,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,38 xG 0,35
32% Possession 68%
7 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
2 Offside 6
17 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 2. · Elversberg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paderborn 11 8 2 1 +9 +3.2 26
2 Schalke 04 11 8 0 3 +8 +1.8 24
3 Elversberg 11 7 2 2 +14 -3.0 23
4 Hannover 11 6 3 2 +5 +2.6 21
5 Karlsruhe 11 6 3 2 +5 -0.8 21
6 Kaiserslautern 11 6 2 3 +7 +0.1 20
7 Darmstadt 11 5 4 2 +7 +3.6 19
8 Hertha 11 5 2 4 +4 -0.9 17
9 Nurnberg 12 4 3 5 -3 +0.5 15
10 Bielefeld 11 4 2 5 +3 -1.0 14
11 Preußen Münster 12 4 2 6 -4 -1.2 14
12 Greuther Furth 12 4 1 7 -12 -1.3 13
13 Holstein Kiel 11 3 3 5 +0 -0.6 12
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 3 2 6 -9 -3.8 11
15 Bochum 11 3 1 7 -4 +3.0 10
16 Braunschweig 11 3 1 7 -10 -1.3 10
17 Dresden 12 1 4 7 -8 +0.5 7
18 Magdeburg 11 2 1 8 -12 -1.7 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Elversberg
1–0 H. Kurucay
M. Sylla
4′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 L. Gunther
↦ J. Gyamerah
63′
🟨 Younes Ebnoutalib
Mertcan Ayhan 🟨
68′
76′
🔁 F. Schmahl
↦ L. Poreba
76′
🔁 O. Stange
↦ L. Petkov
H. Matriciani 🔁
↦ F. Porath
78′
80′
🟨 Bambasé Conté
Vitalie Becker 🟨
86′
89′
🔁 J. Malanga
↦ B. Conte
89′
🔁 L. Schnellbacher
↦ T. Zimmerschied
Henning Matriciani 🟨
91′
A. Donkor 🔁
↦ M. Wallentowitz
94′
F. Sanchez 🔁
↦ V. Becker
94′
M. Gruger 🔁
↦ H. Kurucay
99′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-4-2
1 L. Karius G
43 M. Ayhan D
25 N. Katic D
4 H. Kurucay D
33 V. Becker D
27 F. Porath M
6 R. Schallenberg M
23 S. El-Faouzi M
19 K. Karaman M
35 M. Wallentowitz F
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (9)
45 M. Khadr
41 H. Matriciani
30 A. Donkor
2 F. Sanchez
37 M. Gruger
34 A. Gulasi
16 M. Zalazar
39 P. Remmert
28 J. Heekeren

Coach: Miron Muslić

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
30 J. Gyamerah D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
43 F. Keidel D
6 A. Conde M
8 L. Poreba M
25 L. Petkov M
10 B. Conte M
29 T. Zimmerschied M
22 Y. Ebnoutalib F
Bench (9)
28 T. Boss
2 N. Mickelson
3 F. Le Joncour
21 L. Gunther
14 J. Malanga
17 F. Schmahl
23 C. Sickinger
24 L. Schnellbacher
9 O. Stange

Coach: Vincent Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
U
3,28
B
3,06
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robin Braun · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.