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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Schroder

Leverkusen

S T S U S

2–0

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S S T T S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,7

Scored

2,5

2,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,3

4,0

Scored

2,7

3,0

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

18 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 10. · RB Leipzig 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	+0.6	12
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+12	+3.3	10
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	+1.8	10
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	+1.6	7
5	Mainz	4	2	1	1	+4	+0.5	7
6	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.8	7
7	RB Leipzig	3	2	0	1	+6	+2.9	6
8	Elversberg	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.6	6
9	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	-0.4	5
10	Leverkusen	3	1	1	1	+3	+0.6	4
11	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.6	4
12	FC Koln	4	1	1	2	-3	+0.1	4
13	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.1	3
14	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	-3.3	3
15	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-11	-0.6	3
16	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.5	1
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	+0.4	1
18	M'gladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+11	+3.3	6
2	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+8	+1.8	6
3	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+8	+2.9	6
4	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.6	6
5	Werder Bremen	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
6	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
7	FC Koln	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
8	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
9	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
10	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
11	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
12	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
13	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
14	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
15	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.5	1
16	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
17	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
18	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-2	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
3	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.4	4
4	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
5	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
6	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
7	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
9	Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
11	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.5	1
12	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
13	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
14	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-4	–	0
15	Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.3	0
16	Hamburg	2	0	0	2	-7	-0.6	0
17	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-8	-2.9	0
18	Union Berlin	2	0	0	2	-11	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.