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Super League

Referee: Anojen Kanagasingam

Zurich

T T T S T

1–2

Full-time

Basel

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,12 xG 1,64

39% Possession 61%

10 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 9

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 9. · Basel 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.8	9
2	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+8	+3.8	7
3	St. Gallen	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.6	7
4	Sion	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.9	6
5	Basel	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.7	6
6	Lausanne	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
7	Luzern	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.7	4
8	Servette	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.6	3
9	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.0	3
10	Thun	3	1	0	2	-6	-4.1	3
11	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1
12	Vaduz	3	0	0	3	-3	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.5	6
2	Sion	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.4	6
3	St. Gallen	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.4	4
4	Young Boys	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
5	Basel	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
6	Zurich	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Servette	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
8	Luzern	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.6	3
9	Lausanne	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
10	Vaduz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
11	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
12	Thun	1	0	0	1	-6	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+6	+2.3	4
2	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.3	3
3	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Basel	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
5	Thun	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.3	3
6	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
7	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
8	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-3	-4.3	1
9	Servette	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
10	Vaduz	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
11	Sion	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Zurich	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.