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Premiership
Referee: S Steven
Celtic
T T S S T
1–3
Full-time
Rangers
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 55%
63%
47%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
58%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,73 xG 1,40
65% Possession 35%
21 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 2. · Rangers 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 19 12 5 2 +21 +7.4 41
2 Celtic 19 12 2 5 +15 +8.4 38
3 Rangers 19 9 8 2 +11 +3.5 35
4 Motherwell 20 8 9 3 +12 +5.6 33
5 Hibernian 20 8 7 5 +11 -0.1 31
6 Dundee United 20 5 10 5 -1 -4.3 25
7 Aberdeen 19 7 4 8 -3 -4.8 25
8 Falkirk 19 6 6 7 -7 -1.1 24
9 Dundee 20 5 4 11 -15 -8.1 19
10 St Mirren 18 4 6 8 -8 +3.6 18
11 Kilmarnock 20 2 7 11 -17 -6.4 13
12 Livingston 19 1 6 12 -19 -3.7 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic Rangers
7′
🟨 Thelo Aasgaard
1–0 Yang Hyun-Jun
B. Nygren
20′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Diomande
↦ T. Aasgaard
50′
Chermiti 1–1
N. Raskin
55′
🟨 Djeidi Gassama
59′
Chermiti 1–2
J. Araujo 🔁
↦ L. McCowan
68′
71′
M. Moore 1–3
D. Gassama
S. Yamada 🔁
↦ J. Kenny
74′
R. Hatate 🔁
↦ B. Nygren
74′
87′
🔁 J. Tavernier
↦ D. Gassama
L. Scales 🔁
↦ K. Tierney
88′
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ A. Ralston
88′
92′
🟨 Bojan Miovski
92′
🔁 B. Miovski
↦ Chermiti
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Celtic

3-4-2-1
1 K. Schmeichel G
56 A. Ralston D
6 A. Trusty D
63 K. Tierney D
13 Yang Hyun-Jun M
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
14 L. McCowan M
8 B. Nygren F
38 D. Maeda F
24 J. Kenny F
Bench (9)
12 V. Sinisalo
5 L. Scales
18 S. Yamada
22 J. Araujo
28 P. Bernardo
41 R. Hatate
47 D. Murray
49 J. Forrest
51 C. Donovan

Coach: Martin O'Neill

Rangers

4-3-3
1 J. Butland G
21 D. Sterling D
5 J. Souttar D
37 E. Fernandez D
30 J. Meghoma D
8 C. Barron M
43 N. Raskin M
11 T. Aasgaard M
23 D. Gassama F
9 Chermiti F
47 M. Moore F
Bench (9)
31 L. Kelly
19 C. Nsiala
3 M. Aarons
2 J. Tavernier
52 F. Curtis
20 K. Dowell
10 M. Diomande
28 B. Miovski
99 Danilo Pereira

Coach: Danny Rohl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,90
U
3,78
B ✓
3,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,19
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.