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Premiership

Referee: C Graham

Celtic

S S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Falkirk

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Falkirk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,2

2,8

Scored

2,7

0,7

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

1,0

Scored

3,0

0,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,87 xG 0,53

56% Possession 44%

19 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celtic 1. · Falkirk 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+5	+6.9	6
2	Dundee	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.1	6
3	St Mirren	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
4	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
5	Hearts	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.2	3
6	ST Johnstone	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
7	Hibernian	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
8	Aberdeen	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	3
9	Rangers	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
10	Falkirk	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.4	1
11	Dundee United	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.8	1
12	Kilmarnock	2	0	0	2	-5	-5.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
2	Dundee	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
3	ST Johnstone	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
4	Aberdeen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
5	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
6	St Mirren	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Motherwell	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Dundee United	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.3	1
9	Hibernian	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Rangers	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
11	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
12	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	-4	-4.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+4	+4.8	3
2	St Mirren	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
3	Dundee	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.6	3
4	Motherwell	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Hibernian	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
6	Rangers	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
7	Falkirk	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
8	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
9	Hearts	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
10	ST Johnstone	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
11	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Dundee United	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.