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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Lukasz Kuzma
1–1
Full-time
Wisla Plock
U T T T S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Wisla Plock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,4
0,6
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 8
9 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 10. · Wisla Plock 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 6 5 1 0 +7 +6.4 16
2 Legia 7 4 3 0 +9 +4.6 15
3 Gornik Zabrze 6 5 0 1 +5 +0.6 15
4 Jagiellonia 6 4 0 2 +3 +1.9 12
5 Wisla 7 3 2 2 +2 +4.5 11
6 Piast Gliwice 7 3 1 3 +0 -4.2 10
7 GKS Katowice 6 3 0 3 +3 -1.3 9
8 Korona Kielce 6 2 3 1 +2 -1.9 9
9 Zaglebie 6 2 3 1 +1 +0.6 9
10 Pogon Szczecin 5 2 2 1 +3 -1.1 8
11 Cracovia 7 2 2 3 -2 +3.2 8
12 Radomiak Radom 7 2 2 3 -7 -2.9 8
13 Widzew Lodz 7 1 4 2 +0 -0.2 7
14 Slask Wroclaw 7 1 3 3 -2 -0.1 6
15 Motor Lublin 7 1 2 4 -5 -1.0 5
16 Wieczysta Krakow 6 1 1 4 -4 -0.9 4
17 Wisla Plock 5 1 1 3 -7 -0.9 4
18 Rakow 6 0 0 6 -8 -7.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pogon Szczecin Wisla Plock
31′
🔁 Olaf Kobacki
↦ Jorge Jiménez
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Jan Bieganski
52′
Jean-Pierre Nsame 🔁
↦ Natan Lawa
59′
60′
Marcus Haglind Sangre 1–1
70′
🔁 Marcin Koscielecki
↦ Łukasz Sekulski
Patryk Dziczek 🟨
71′
Jacek Czaplinski 🔁
↦ Maciej Wojciechowski
73′
Kellyn Acosta 🔁
↦ Jan Bieganski
74′
78′
🟨 Sidnei·Tavares
Valentin Cojocaru 🟨
83′
84′
🟨 Marcus Haglind Sangre
Musa Juwara 🔁
↦ Darko Churlinov
85′
Attila Szalai 🔁
↦ Hussein Ali
85′
90′
🟨 Patryk Kun
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Pogon Szczecin

4-3-3
77 V. Cojocaru G
15 Hussein Ali D
13 D. Keramitsis D
29 L. Willen D
23 B. Mendy D
47 N. Lawa M
16 P. Dziczek M
6 J. Biegański M
21 D. Churlinov F
18 P. Mukairu F
35 M. Wojciechowski F
Bench (10)
3 K. Acosta
30 J. Czaplinski
11 K. Grosicki
7 M. Juwara
17 J. Nsame
75 A. Ossowski
42 P. Paryzek
33 Pascal Enguehard
41 A. Szalai
89 Antoni Fojut

Coach: Óscar García

Wisla Plock

3-4-3
12 R. Leszczyński G
4 M. Haglind-Sangré D
35 M. Kamiński D
34 Afonso Silva D
21 Ž. Rogelj M
17 A. Radwański M
5 Sidnei Tavares M
19 D. Gallapeni M
11 Jime F
20 Ł. Sekulski F
23 P. Kun F
Bench (11)
41 M. Więckowski
88 K. Savvidīs
18 J. Pršir
6 K. Pomorski
44 P. Misiak
91 G. Kuchko
7 O. Kobacki
16 F. Hiszpański
10 S. Hamulić
26 J. Burek
77 Marcin Koscielecki

Coach: A. Majewski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,90
U ✓
3,62
B
3,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,22
U1,5
3,85
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,02
O3,5
2,87
U3,5 ✓
1,40
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,65
BLS nei
2,10

Referee

Lukasz Kuzma · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.