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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Damian Kos

Pogon Szczecin

S U T S S

2–2

Full-time

Wisla

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Wisla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,32 xG 0,86

40% Possession 60%

13 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 7. · Wisla 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	5	3	2	0	+8	+3.7	11
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	+4	-1.7	9
3	Cracovia	5	2	2	1	+0	+3.1	8
4	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.3	7
5	Zaglebie	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.1	7
6	GKS Katowice	4	2	0	2	+5	-1.0	6
7	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.8	6
8	Widzew Lodz	5	1	3	1	+1	+1.0	6
9	Wisla	4	2	0	2	+0	+4.5	6
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.8	6
11	Korona Kielce	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.3	5
12	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.5	5
13	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.3	5
14	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	-5	-4.1	4
15	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	-5	-2.2	4
16	Radomiak Radom	5	1	1	3	-8	-2.9	4
17	Wieczysta Krakow	4	1	0	3	-2	-0.6	3
18	Rakow	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.0	6
2	GKS Katowice	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.4	6
3	Zaglebie	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.0	6
4	Wisla	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.8	6
5	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.0	6
6	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.2	6
7	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.8	5
8	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
9	Piast Gliwice	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.0	4
10	Radomiak Radom	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.4	4
11	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.6	3
12	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.0	3
13	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
14	Korona Kielce	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
15	Wisla Plock	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
16	Widzew Lodz	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.4	1
17	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
18	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.4	5
2	Legia	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.8	5
3	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
4	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
5	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
6	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Korona Kielce	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
8	Wieczysta Krakow	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.0	3
9	Wisla Plock	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.1	3
10	Cracovia	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.9	2
11	Motor Lublin	3	0	2	1	-2	-2.7	2
12	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.2	1
13	Wisla	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.7	0
14	Rakow	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0
15	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.2	0
16	GKS Katowice	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.4	0
17	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.2	0
18	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-7	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.