Ekstraklasa
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cracovia
Legia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | +16 | +2.2 | 41 |
| 2 |
Jagiellonia
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | +18 | +6.6 | 38 |
| 3 |
Lech Poznan
|
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | +7 | -2.0 | 33 |
| 4 |
Rakow
|
18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +13 | +11.2 | 32 |
| 5 |
Legia
|
18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +8 | +6.8 | 32 |
| 6 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | +11 | +10.4 | 30 |
| 7 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | +1 | -1.8 | 26 |
| 8 |
Zaglebie
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | -9 | +3.3 | 25 |
| 9 |
Piast Gliwice
|
18 | 4 | 12 | 2 | +4 | +10.4 | 24 |
| 10 |
Radomiak Radom
|
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | +1 | +2.3 | 24 |
| 11 |
Stal Mielec
|
18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -4 | -7.8 | 22 |
| 12 |
Widzew Lodz
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -5 | -2.8 | 22 |
| 13 |
Puszcza
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -10 | -11.1 | 20 |
| 14 |
Warta Poznan
|
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -6 | -4.0 | 19 |
| 15 |
Korona Kielce
|
18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | -2 | -4.3 | 18 |
| 16 |
Cracovia
|
18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | -8 | -3.8 | 18 |
| 17 |
Ruch Chorzow
|
19 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -12 | -7.3 | 13 |
| 18 |
LKS Lodz
|
18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | -23 | -8.5 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Legia
Cracovia
Cracovia
Stal Mielec
Rakow
Cracovia
Cracovia
Ruch Chorzow
Rakow
Cracovia
K Arys · 61 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.