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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Widzew Lodz

T T U S U

2–1

Full-time

Lech Poznan

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

0,73 xG 1,69

35% Possession 65%

11 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Widzew Lodz 12. · Lech Poznan 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+3	-1.0	6
2	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
3	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
4	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
5	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
6	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
7	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
8	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
9	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
10	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
11	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
12	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
13	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
14	Puszcza	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.5	1
15	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.9	1
16	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.4	1
17	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
18	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
2	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
3	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
4	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
5	Puszcza	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
6	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
7	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
9	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
10	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
11	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
12	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
2	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
3	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
4	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
5	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
7	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
8	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
9	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.9	1
10	Puszcza	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
11	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
12	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.