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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Lasyk

Widzew Lodz

U S T T T

1–1

Full-time

Lech Poznan

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 41%

38%

44%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

53%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

63%

53%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,61 xG 1,71

47% Possession 53%

25 Shots 14

11 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Widzew Lodz 11. · Lech Poznan 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	33	17	9	7	+29	+16.3	60
2	Slask Wroclaw	33	17	9	7	+18	+8.0	60
3	Legia	33	15	11	7	+11	+9.8	56
4	Gornik Zabrze	33	15	8	10	+5	-5.7	53
5	Pogon Szczecin	33	15	7	11	+20	+15.2	52
6	Rakow	33	14	10	9	+16	+21.9	52
7	Lech Poznan	32	14	10	8	+7	-6.2	52
8	Zaglebie	32	12	8	12	-7	+2.1	44
9	Piast Gliwice	33	9	16	8	+4	+15.3	43
10	Stal Mielec	33	11	10	12	-5	-16.6	43
11	Widzew Lodz	32	12	6	14	-3	-2.7	42
12	Cracovia	33	8	15	10	+1	-0.7	39
13	Radomiak Radom	33	10	8	15	-15	-4.5	38
14	Warta Poznan	33	9	10	14	-7	-11.0	37
15	Puszcza	33	8	13	12	-11	-15.6	37
16	Korona Kielce	33	7	14	12	-5	+1.1	35
17	Ruch Chorzow	33	5	14	14	-17	-9.1	29
18	LKS Lodz	32	5	6	21	-41	-17.6	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	16	11	3	2	+27	+14.5	36
2	Rakow	16	10	5	1	+23	+15.0	35
3	Gornik Zabrze	17	9	5	3	+9	-1.5	32
4	Lech Poznan	16	9	4	3	+14	+1.0	31
5	Slask Wroclaw	17	9	4	4	+13	+11.6	31
6	Stal Mielec	17	8	6	3	+8	-5.0	30
7	Piast Gliwice	17	7	7	3	+10	+14.3	28
8	Legia	16	7	6	3	+8	+8.5	27
9	Widzew Lodz	16	9	0	7	+0	+4.3	27
10	Pogon Szczecin	16	8	2	6	+9	+15.9	26
11	Korona Kielce	17	6	8	3	+8	+11.3	26
12	Puszcza	16	6	8	2	+2	-0.2	26
13	Zaglebie	16	6	5	5	+0	+1.3	23
14	Cracovia	17	5	7	5	+7	+2.4	22
15	Warta Poznan	17	5	5	7	-1	-2.7	20
16	Radomiak Radom	16	4	5	7	-6	+2.0	17
17	LKS Lodz	16	4	5	7	-11	-8.7	17
18	Ruch Chorzow	16	3	7	6	-3	+2.4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	16	8	5	3	+5	-3.6	29
2	Legia	17	8	5	4	+3	+1.3	29
3	Pogon Szczecin	17	7	5	5	+11	-0.6	26
4	Jagiellonia	17	6	6	5	+2	+1.8	24
5	Gornik Zabrze	16	6	3	7	-4	-4.3	21
6	Zaglebie	16	6	3	7	-7	+0.8	21
7	Lech Poznan	16	5	6	5	-7	-7.2	21
8	Radomiak Radom	17	6	3	8	-9	-6.5	21
9	Warta Poznan	16	4	5	7	-6	-8.3	17
10	Cracovia	16	3	8	5	-6	-3.1	17
11	Rakow	17	4	5	8	-7	+6.8	17
12	Widzew Lodz	16	3	6	7	-3	-7.0	15
13	Piast Gliwice	16	2	9	5	-6	+1.0	15
14	Stal Mielec	16	3	4	9	-13	-11.6	13
15	Ruch Chorzow	17	2	7	8	-14	-11.5	13
16	Puszcza	17	2	5	10	-13	-15.4	11
17	Korona Kielce	16	1	6	9	-13	-10.2	9
18	LKS Lodz	16	1	1	14	-30	-8.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.