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Champions League
Referee: F Letexier
FK Crvena Zvezda
T S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,7
Scored
2,2
2,7
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -25 Lech Poznan – FK Crvena Zvezda 1–3

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Lech Poznan
Miloš Veljković 🟨
2′
8′
🔁 F. Szymczak
↦ R. Gumny
Bruno Duarte 🟨
22′
1–0 C. Ndiaye ⚽
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Ouma
↦ G. Thordarson
Rodrigão 🟥
57′
V. Milosavljevic 🔁
↦ Bruno Duarte
58′
Milson 🔁
↦ P. Olayinka
72′
V. Lucic 🔁
↦ S. Babicka
72′
72′
🔁 B. Fiabema
↦
72′
🔁 P. Rodriguez
↦ A. Kozubal
79′
🔁 K. Lisman
↦ L. Palma
Milson 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 Pablo Rodríguez
Rade Krunić 🟨
81′
A. Katai 🔁
↦ C. Ndiaye
86′
90′
⚽ M. Ishak 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
5 Rodrigo D
13 M. Veljkovic D
23 N. Tiknizyan D
33 R. Krunic M
21 T. Elsnik M
80 S. Babicka F
17 Bruno Duarte F
14 P. Olayinka M
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (12)
18 O. Glazer
77 I. Gutesa
4 M. Ivanic
6 M. Bajo
7 Milson
8 J. Sljivic
10 A. Katai
22 V. Kostov
24 N. Stankovic
25 S. Lekovic
37 V. Lucic
44 V. Milosavljevic

Coach: Dejan Stankovic

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek G
2 J. Pereira D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
16 A. Milic D
4 J. Moutinho D
23 G. Thordarson M
43 A. Kozubal M
20 R. Gumny D
77 L. Palma M
14 L. Bengtsson M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (11)
31 K. Bakowski
33 M. Pruchniewski
6 T. Ouma
15 M. Gurgul
17 F. Szymczak
19 B. Fiabema
21 B. Baranski
27 W. Monka
53 S. Dudek
56 K. Lisman
99 P. Rodriguez

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.