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Ekstraklasa

Referee: W Myc

Jagiellonia

S U U T S

3–2

Full-time

Widzew Lodz

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Widzew Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

4,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

4,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-4,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,29 xG 2,33

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 17. · Widzew Lodz 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.6	6
2	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	0	+3	+4.1	6
3	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.1	6
4	Radomiak Radom	2	1	1	0	+4	-0.1	4
5	Nieciecza	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.7	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Rakow	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.1	3
8	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
9	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	-2	+1.9	3
10	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.6	3
11	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
12	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
13	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
14	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.1	0
15	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
16	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.0	0
17	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+4	-0.1	3
2	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.3	3
3	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	+3.0	3
5	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
8	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
9	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
10	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
11	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
12	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.1	0
13	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.1	0
14	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.1	3
2	Nieciecza	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.7	3
3	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
4	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
5	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
6	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
7	Radomiak Radom	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
8	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
9	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
10	Arka Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
11	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.0	0
12	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
13	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-4	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.