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Conference League
Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak
AZ Alkmaar
S S S U S
4–1
Full-time
Levski Sofia
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Levski Sofia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,3
Scored
2,8
0,7
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 74%
80%
67%
Points per game
2,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
60%
0%
Both score Ø 10%
20%
0%
Average goals
3,6
1,7
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -25 Levski Sofia – AZ Alkmaar 0–2

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Levski Sofia
1–0 I. Sadiq ⚽
3′
2–0 M. Meerdink ⚽
M. de Wit
6′
Jordy Clasie 🟨
9′
3–0 I. Sadiq ⚽
M. Meerdink
45′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 D. Kwakman
↦ J. Clasie
47′
⚽ Everton Bala 3–1
Maicon
60′
🟨 Borislav Rupanov
63′
🔁 S. Mijnans
↦ K. Smit
63′
🔁 I. Jensen
↦ I. Sadiq
66′
🟨 Asen Mitkov
M. Sangare 🔁
↦ B. Rupanov
66′
M. Soula 🔁
↦ M. Petkov
66′
69′
🟨 Mustapha Sangaré
Rildo 🔁
↦ R. Kirilov
77′
K. Fabien 🔁
↦ Everton Bala
77′
77′
🔁 L. Zeefuik
↦ M. Meerdink
77′
🔁 Z. Buurmeester
↦ R. Daal
Fabio Lima 🔁
↦ Maicon
84′
4–1 L. Zeefuik ⚽
I. Jensen
86′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
92 S. Vutsov
21 A. Neves
50 K. Dimitrov
6 Tsunami
3 Maicon
18 G. Trdin
17 Everton Bala
10 A. Mitkov
88 M. Petkov
77 B. Rupanov
99 R. Kirilov
Bench (12)
1 O. Vladimirov
78 M. Lukov
4 C. Makoun
7 Fabio Lima
12 M. Sangare
22 M. Soula
23 P. Myslovic
31 N. Serafimov
37 Rildo
70 G. Kostadinov
71 O. Kamdem
95 K. Fabien

Coach: Maarten Martens

Levski Sofia

1 R. Owusu-Oduro
30 D. Kasius
3 W. Goes
5 Penetra
34 M. de Wit
8 J. Clasie
26 K. Smit
6 P. Koopmeiners
11 I. Sadiq
35 M. Meerdink
27 R. Daal
Bench (12)
12 H. Verhulst
41 J. Zoet
4 M. Dekker
10 S. Mijnans
15 M. Chavez Garcia
17 I. Jensen
21 D. Kwakman
22 E. Dijkstra
23 B. van Duijl
25 L. Zeefuik
28 Z. Buurmeester
60 S. van Duijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Damian Sylwestrzak · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.