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Conference League
Referee: Snir Levy
Vaduz
T U T S T
0–1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vaduz AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
5,0
Scored
1,2
3,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,3
5,0
Scored
1,0
3,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

82% Possession 18%
22 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Aug -25 AZ Alkmaar – Vaduz 3–0 27. Oct -22 Vaduz – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 15. Sep -22 AZ Alkmaar – Vaduz 4–1

Match report

Vaduz AZ Alkmaar
2′
🟨 Ro-Zangelo Daal
7′
🟥 Ro-Zangelo Daal
7′
ℹ️ Ro-Zangelo Daal
VAR: Card upgrade
Luca Mack 🟨
13′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Zico Buurmeester
46′
🔁 M. Monsberger
↦ A. Campos
Liridon Berisha 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Wouter Goes
66′
🔁 J. Navarro
↦ J. De Donno
K. Smit 🔁
↦ I. Sadiq
67′
Marcel Monsberger 🟨
68′
74′
🔁 G. De Donno
↦ R. Dantas Fernandes
75′
🔁 F. Hoxha
↦ S. Seiler
T. Parrott 🔁
↦ M. Meerdink
76′
I. Jensen 🔁
↦ Z. Buurmeester
76′
82′
🔁 M. Hammerich
↦ N. Hasler
Florian Hoxha 🟨
86′
88′
⚽ T. Parrott 0–1
D. Kwakman 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
89′
E. Dijkstra 🔁
↦ D. Kasius
89′
Gabriele De Donno 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Vaduz

4-3-1-2
41 J. Zoet
30 D. Kasius
3 W. Goes
5 Penetra
15 M. Chavez Garcia
28 Z. Buurmeester
6 P. Koopmeiners
10 S. Mijnans
11 I. Sadiq
35 M. Meerdink
27 R. Daal
Bench (9)
1 R. Owusu-Oduro
12 H. Verhulst
9 T. Parrott
17 I. Jensen
21 D. Kwakman
22 E. Dijkstra
26 K. Smit
34 M. de Wit
52 B. van Duijl

Coach: Marc Schneider

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 B. Buchel
4 N. Hasler
6 D. Simani
5 L. Berisha
7 D. Schwizer
22 M. Eberhard
20 L. Mack
8 S. Seiler
30 R. Dantas Fernandes
29 J. De Donno
17 A. Campos
Bench (11)
21 T. Oehri
25 L. Schaffran
9 M. Monsberger
11 J. Navarro
14 M. Beeli
16 G. De Donno
18 A. Hasler
19 F. Hoxha
24 C. Gasser
26 M. Hammerich
27 N. Lang

Coach: Maarten Martens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.