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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
AZ Alkmaar
T S S T S
5–0
Full-time
NAC Breda
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

62% Possession 38%
29 Shots 5
12 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
14 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Feb -18 NAC Breda – AZ Alkmaar 1–3 10. Sep -17 AZ Alkmaar – NAC Breda 2–1

Match report

AZ Alkmaar NAC Breda
1–0 J. Svensson ⚽
26′
2–0 P. Hatzidiakos ⚽
O. Idrissi
30′
3–0 M. Boadu ⚽
42′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 L. Ilić
↦ G. Kastaneer
58′
🟨 Mounir El Allouchi
66′
🟨 Fabian Sporkslede
70′
🔁 J. van der Gaag
↦ M. te Vrede
D. Rotariu 🔁
↦ F. Midtsjø
76′
4–0 T. Koopmeiners ⚽
79′
B. Johnsen 🔁
↦ M. Boadu
81′
L. Bergsma 🔁
↦ R. Vlaar
81′
5–0 B. Johnsen ⚽
T. Ouwejan
85′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
4 R. Vlaar D
2 J. Svensson D
12 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 T. Ouwejan D
6 F. Midtsjø M
20 M. Seuntjens F
8 T. Koopmeiners M
10 G. Til M
11 O. Idrissi F
21 M. Boadu F
Bench (9)
14 D. Rotariu
9 B. Johnsen
23 L. Bergsma
3 H. Weigelt
16 R. de Boer
34 J. Kramer
15 O. Wijndal
54 F. Friday
40 J. Jacobs

Coach: J. van den Brom

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1
25 M. Birighitti G
5 K. Mets D
4 M. Koch D
2 F. Sporkslede D
21 G. Leigh D
27 A. Kali M
6 A. Verschueren M
8 M. El Allouchi M
17 M. Rosheuvel M
9 M. te Vrede F
33 G. Kastaneer F
Bench (9)
40 L. Ilić
23 J. van der Gaag
24 D. Klomp
15 J. Carolina
20 M. Reuvers
14 E. Palmer-Brown
29 S. van Hooijdonk
26 K. Niemczycki
28 G. Nijholt

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.