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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

NAC Breda

T T T U T

2–1

Full-time

For Sittard

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,06 xG 0,73

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match NAC Breda 14. · For Sittard 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+8	+3.2	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+7	+1.3	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.6	6
4	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
5	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
6	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
7	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+3	+1.4	3
8	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
9	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-4	-0.4	3
10	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.3	2
11	Volendam	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.7	2
12	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.1	1
14	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
15	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
16	Telstar	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.9	0
17	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0
18	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-7	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+5	+0.5	3
2	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.4	3
3	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
7	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
10	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
11	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
12	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
13	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
14	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
15	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
16	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
17	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
5	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
6	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
8	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
9	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
10	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
11	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
12	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
13	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.1	0
15	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0
16	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-5	-0.5	0
17	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.