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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
2–1
Full-time
Groningen
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 11. · Groningen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 6 0 0 +18 18
2 Feyenoord 6 5 1 0 +12 16
3 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 0 1 +17 15
4 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 2 0 +7 14
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 +8 13
6 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 +0 9
7 Utrecht 7 2 3 2 -1 9
8 Excelsior 6 3 0 3 -7 9
9 Nijmegen 7 1 5 1 +2 8
10 Groningen 6 2 2 2 -4 8
11 Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 1 3 +0 7
12 Waalwijk 6 1 3 2 +1 6
13 Cambuur 6 1 1 4 -5 4
14 Vitesse 6 1 1 4 -9 4
15 FC Emmen 6 1 1 4 -10 4
16 Volendam 6 1 1 4 -13 4
17 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 0 5 -7 3
18 For Sittard 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Groningen
Adil Auassar ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
20′
28′
🟨 Radinio Balker
Half-time 0–1
61′
R. Pepi 0–1
I. Määttä
65′
🔁 F. Krüger
↦ R. Pepi
73′
🔁 N. Kasanwirjo
↦ I. Määttä
1–1 S. Mijnans
V. van Crooij
73′
Y. Namli 🔁
↦ K. Saito
76′
J. van Mullem 🔁
↦ J. de Guzmán
76′
79′
🟨 Marin Šverko
84′
🟨 Michael Verrips
Tobias Lauritsen ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
89′
A. Verschueren 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
90′
M. Engels 🔁
↦ T. Lauritsen
90′
2–1 V. van Crooij
90′
91′
🔁 R. Lundqvist
↦ L. van Gelderen
M. Eerdhuijzen 🔁
↦ V. van Crooij
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 Y. Schoonderwaldt G
2 S. Sambo D
3 B. Vriends D
4 A. Auassar D
5 M. Pinto D
6 J. de Guzmán M
10 S. Mijnans M
8 J. Kitolano M
7 V. van Crooij F
9 T. Lauritsen F
11 K. Saito F
Bench (12)
18 Y. Namli
22 J. van Mullem
16 A. Verschueren
14 M. Eerdhuijzen
19 M. Engels
13 O. Rekik
30 J. Koorevaar
15 A. Meijers
21 A. Drakpe
20 I. Kort
12 D. Abels
17 J. Lokilo

Coach: M. Steijn

Groningen

3-4-3
20 M. Verrips G
12 R. Balker D
5 M. te Wierik D
3 M. Šverko D
19 L. van Gelderen M
4 J. Pelupessy M
6 L. Duarte M
18 I. Määttä M
7 T. Suslov F
9 R. Pepi F
11 P. Abraham F
Bench (11)
23 F. Krüger
21 N. Kasanwirjo
22 R. Lundqvist
40 L. Valente
25 J. de Boer
1 P. Leeuwenburgh
14 E. Matuta
34 R. Oratmangoen
15 Y. Kalley
24 N. Musampa
2 D. Dankerlui

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,35
B
3,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.