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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Livingston
S S T T S
1–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 3
1 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 7. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +24 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 +7 13
3 Aberdeen 6 3 1 2 +6 10
4 Hearts 6 3 1 2 +2 10
5 Motherwell 6 3 1 2 +1 10
6 St Mirren 6 3 0 3 -2 9
7 Livingston 6 3 0 3 -4 9
8 Hibernian 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 ST Johnstone 7 2 1 4 -3 7
10 Ross County 7 1 2 4 -7 5
11 Kilmarnock 6 1 1 4 -8 4
12 Dundee United 6 0 2 4 -16 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jan -21 Livingston – Kilmarnock 2–0 26. Dec -20 Kilmarnock – Livingston 1–2 17. Oct -20 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–3 7. Dec -19 Livingston – Kilmarnock 3–0 19. Oct -19 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–1

Match report

Livingston Kilmarnock
1–0 C. Montaño ⚽
S. Kelly
25′
45′
🟨 Lewis Mayo
Half-time 1–0
Esmaël Gonçalves 🔁
↦ K. Guthrie
57′
60′
🔁 Jordan Jones
↦ J. Dorsett
60′
🔁 B. Lyons
↦ L. Polworth
60′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ D. Armstrong
J. Penrice 🔁
↦ D. Bahamboula
77′
80′
🟨 Ben Chrisene
82′
🔁 K. Lafferty
↦ B. Chrisene
83′
🔁 K. McInroy
↦ A. Power
J. Fitzwater 🔁
↦ C. Montaño
90′
Scott Pitman 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
24 S. Kelly D
11 C. Montaño D
18 J. Holt M
8 S. Pittman M
7 D. Bahamboula M
33 S. Oméonga M
19 J. Nouble M
28 K. Guthrie F
Bench (9)
10 Esmaël Gonçalves
29 J. Penrice
5 J. Fitzwater
9 B. Anderson
25 P. Čančar
17 S. Kelly
22 A. Shinnie
3 J. Longridge
32 J. Hamilton

Coach: D. Martindale

Kilmarnock

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Hemming G
19 J. Wright D
2 L. Mayo D
3 J. Dorsett D
25 R. Alebiosu M
31 L. Polworth M
4 A. Power M
33 B. Chrisene M
11 D. Armstrong F
7 R. McKenzie F
26 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
10 Jordan Jones
17 B. Lyons
15 F. Murray
28 K. Lafferty
21 K. McInroy
27 I. Cameron
6 C. Stokes
9 O. Shaw
20 S. Walker

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
🔒
U
3,31
🔒
B
3,85
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,18
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.