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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Nijmegen
S T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Groningen
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nijmegen 11. · Groningen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Feyenoord 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Excelsior 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Twente 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +4 5
8 Cambuur 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 FC Emmen 3 1 1 1 -2 4
10 Groningen 3 1 1 1 -4 4
11 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
12 Utrecht 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 Waalwijk 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Volendam 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 0 3 -6 0
17 For Sittard 3 0 0 3 -7 0
18 Vitesse 3 0 0 3 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nijmegen Groningen
Half-time 0–0
58′
🟨 Tomáš Suslov
Oussama Tannane 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Neraysho Kasanwirjo
Pedro Marques 🔁
↦ J. Bruijn
67′
75′
L. Duarte 0–1
I. Cissoko 🔁
↦ D. Proper
79′
1–1 I. Cissoko
O. Tannane
88′
90′
🔁 R. Postema
↦ C. Ngonge
Elayis Tavsan 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nijmegen

4-1-4-1
22 J. Cillessen G
28 B. van Rooij D
4 Iván Márquez D
5 J. Kramer D
16 S. El Karouani D
71 D. Proper M
7 E. Tavşan M
14 O. Tannane M
20 L. Schöne M
10 M. Duelund M
6 J. Bruijn F
Bench (10)
9 Pedro Marques
21 I. Cissoko
32 N. Rossen
29 K. de Wit
31 R. Roefs
1 M. Branderhorst
2 I. Bronkhorst
8 A. Baldursson
24 C. Verdonk
30 G. Gertsen

Coach: R. Meijer

Groningen

4-4-2
20 M. Verrips G
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
5 M. te Wierik D
12 R. Balker D
18 I. Määttä D
7 T. Suslov M
4 J. Pelupessy M
6 L. Duarte M
11 P. Abraham M
27 C. Ngonge F
9 J. Strand Larsen F
Bench (12)
29 R. Postema
14 E. Matuta
3 M. Šverko
40 L. Valente
25 J. de Boer
22 R. Lundqvist
1 P. Leeuwenburgh
10 D. Irandust
34 R. Oratmangoen
19 L. van Gelderen
15 Y. Kalley
37 P. Joosten

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U ✓
3,46
B
3,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.