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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
1–1
Full-time
Groningen
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 13%
13%
13%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 17. · Groningen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +30 22
2 PSV Eindhoven 9 7 0 2 +10 21
3 Utrecht 9 5 2 2 +9 17
4 Feyenoord 8 5 1 2 +11 16
5 Willem II 8 5 1 2 +2 16
6 Twente 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Heerenveen 8 4 1 3 -1 13
8 Vitesse 8 4 1 3 -7 13
9 Cambuur 9 4 0 5 -6 12
10 Nijmegen 8 3 2 3 -5 11
11 Heracles 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 1 5 -7 10
13 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 0 4 +4 9
14 For Sittard 8 2 2 4 -8 8
15 Waalwijk 9 1 4 4 -3 7
16 Groningen 8 1 3 4 -7 6
17 Sparta Rotterdam 8 1 3 4 -9 6
18 Zwolle 9 0 1 8 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Groningen
Adil Auassar 🟨
5′
28′
C. Ngonge 0–1
M. El Hankouri
1–1 B. Smeets
33′
Maduka Okoye 🟨
36′
Bryan Smeets 🟨
36′
36′
🟨 Cyril Ngonge
Half-time 1–1
T. Beugelsdijk 🔁
↦ Mohammed Osman
59′
65′
🔁 D. Irandust
↦ M. de Leeuw
E. Emegha 🔁
↦ L. Thy
71′
75′
🔁 P. Abraham
↦ C. Ngonge
Dirk Abels 🟨
79′
87′
🔁 D. van Kaam
↦ L. Duarte
88′
🟨 Tomáš Suslov
M. Engels 🔁
↦ V. van Crooij
88′
88′
🔁 R. Postema
↦ J. Larsen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 M. Okoye G
3 B. Vriends D
5 L. Jans D
4 M. Heylen D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
8 Mohammed Osman M
7 S. Mijnans M
9 L. Thy F
11 V. van Crooij M
Bench (9)
14 T. Beugelsdijk
19 E. Emegha
17 M. Engels
15 J. Bynoe
12 G. Masouras
30 T. Coremans
20 B. van Leer
18 M. Tahiri
16 K. Goudmijn

Coach: H. Fraser

Groningen

4-4-2
1 P. Leeuwenburgh G
3 B. van Hintum D
2 D. Dankerlui D
4 W. Dammers D
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
6 L. Duarte M
7 T. Suslov M
8 M. de Leeuw F
11 M. El Hankouri M
27 C. Ngonge M
9 J. Larsen F
Bench (9)
10 D. Irandust
19 P. Abraham
26 D. van Kaam
29 R. Postema
15 Y. Kalley
16 J. Hoekstra
25 J. de Boer
14 P. Joosten
40 B. Meijer

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U ✓
3,32
B
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.