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Serie B
Referee: G Miele
Sudtirol
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Cosenza
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,8
1,6
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
19 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 15. · Cosenza 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brescia 6 5 0 1 +4 15
2 Reggina 5 4 0 1 +9 12
3 Cagliari 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Frosinone 5 3 0 2 +4 9
5 Bari 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Spal 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Genoa 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Ascoli 5 2 2 1 +1 8
10 Cosenza 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Palermo 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Benevento 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Ternana 5 2 1 2 -2 7
14 Parma 5 1 3 1 +0 6
15 Sudtirol 5 2 0 3 -4 6
16 Venezia 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Perugia 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Modena 5 1 0 4 -2 3
19 Como 5 0 2 3 -5 2
20 Pisa 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Cosenza
1–0 M. Rover
R. Odogwu
22′
34′
🟨 Idriz Voca
Half-time 1–0
Giovanni Zaro 🟨
61′
A. Schiavone 🔁
↦ S. Mazzocchi
63′
63′
🔁 M. Zilli
↦ C. DUrso
63′
🔁 P. Gozzi
↦ P. Martino
63′
🔁 G. Calò
↦ I. Voca
D. Casiraghi 🔁
↦ F. De Col
64′
Fabian Tait 🟨
75′
G. Crociata 🔁
↦ F. Tait
76′
76′
🔁 J. Larrivey
↦ K. Butić
76′
🔁 E. Kornvig
↦ M. Brescianini
77′
E. Kornvig 1–1
Giovanni Crociata 🟨
87′
C. Capone 🔁
↦ H. Nicolussi
89′
M. Curto 🔁
↦ M. Rover
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sudtirol

4-4-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
2 F. Berra D
19 G. Zaro D
55 A. Masiello D
11 T. D'Orazio D
26 F. De Col M
21 F. Tait M
14 H. Nicolussi M
18 M. Rover M
90 R. Odogwu F
9 S. Mazzocchi F
Bench (12)
88 A. Schiavone
17 D. Casiraghi
30 G. Crociata
37 C. Capone
4 M. Curto
24 S. Davì
12 S. Harrasser
10 M. Carretta
28 R. Kofler
22 A. Iacobucci
23 M. Pompetti
6 A. Barison

Coach: P. Bisoli

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
31 K. Matošević G
3 A. Rispoli D
5 M. Rigione D
13 A. Meroni D
27 P. Martino D
42 I. Voca M
4 M. Brescianini M
11 E. Brignola M
18 D. Merola M
10 C. D'Urso M
32 K. Butić F
Bench (12)
40 M. Zilli
25 P. Gozzi
6 G. Calò
9 J. Larrivey
7 E. Kornvig
28 A. Sidibe
21 A. Vallocchia
48 A. Arioli
23 M. Venturi
20 M. Nasti
77 L. Marson
19 A. Camigliano

Coach: D. Dionigi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U ✓
3,12
B
3,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Miele · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.